Alex Barrena vs Juan Pablo VarillasSao Paulo CH Round of 16

Sao Paulo CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#253ATP
1375ELO
1347Clay ELO
$100kYTD
$266kCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 23 March 2026
clay
#308ATP
1440ELO
1431Clay ELO
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLLLLL
Barrena A.
2-6 6-2 6-3
Varillas J.
Barrena A.
2662
Varillas J.
6231

Alex Barrena defeated Juan Pablo Varillas 2-6 6-2 6-3 in the Sao Paulo CH round of 16 on clay.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Barrena A.serving51% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Varillas J.

Varillas J.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Barrena A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
55%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
55%
60%
Return points won·Even
40%
42%
Break points saved·Even
55%
59%
Aces / match·Even
2.5
2.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.3
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
30
56
Break points saved·Dominant
43
80
Break points won·Slight edge
54
43
Deciding sets·Dominant
26
66
Tiebreaks·Even
68
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Clay Elo 1347
Surface ELO
5.2+84 Clay Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1375
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1440
0.0No prior meetings
H2H
10.0
5.2
Surface form
6.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.7
Minutes 14d
4.5
4.0
3-set count
0.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
77
58

Barrena A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d) · Varillas J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 82 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast