Jay Clarke vs Shintaro MochizukiMiami Masters Qualifying Round 1

Miami Masters · ATP · Qualifying Round 1
#246ATP
1458ELO
1421Hard ELO
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 18 March 2026
hard
#151ATP
1475ELO
1425Hard ELO
$243kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Clarke J.
6-4 3-6 6-1
Mochizuki S.
Clarke J.
6362
Mochizuki S.
4611

Jay Clarke defeated Shintaro Mochizuki 6-4 3-6 6-1 in the Miami Masters qualifying round 1 on hard.

Key context

  • Match story: Jay Clarke came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–4 3–6 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Clarke J.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Mochizuki S.

Mochizuki S.serving65% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Clarke J.

Serve advantage — Clarke J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
52%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
45%
Service points won·Even
60%
56%
Return points won·Even
40%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.0
2.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.8
6.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
8
52
Break points saved·Slight edge
63
74
Break points won·Dominant
21
55
Deciding sets·Dominant
10
46
Tiebreaks·Dominant
4
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Hard Elo 1421
Surface ELO
5.4+4 Hard Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1458
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1475
0.0No prior meetings
H2H
10.0
5.8
Surface form
4.1
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.2
Minutes 14d
5.6
4.0
3-set count
0.0
Country comfort
5.1
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
77

Clarke J.: 19 days rest · Mochizuki S.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
21°CDrizzle
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 81%