Sebastian Korda vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli — Miami Masters Round of 64

Miami Masters · ATP · Round of 64
Sebastian Korda
USA32
Sebastian Korda
#63ATP
1809ELO
1765Hard ELO
$471kYTD
$9.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 18 March 2026
hard
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ARG
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
#59ATP
1759ELO
1642Hard ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
Korda S.
6-0 6-3
Ugo Carabelli C.
Korda S.
662
Ugo Carabelli C.
030

Sebastian Korda defeated Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-0 6-3 in the Miami Masters round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Camilo Ugo Carabelli came in ranked #59, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Korda S.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Ugo Carabelli C.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Korda S.

Serve advantage — Korda S.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Korda S.Ugo Carabelli C.
61
Serve
0
58
Return
5

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Korda S.Ugo Carabelli C.
1st serve in·Even
62%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
79%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
69%
61%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
58%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.2
2.8
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Korda S.Ugo Carabelli C.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
87
78
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
90
Break points won·Slight edge
73
62
Deciding sets·Even
96
96
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
94
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Korda S.
8.1
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Ugo Carabelli C.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.0+124 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.0Hard Elo 1642
7.1Overall Elo 1809
ELO gap
2.9Overall Elo 1759
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.9
Surface form
2.9
Fatigue & Travel
7.8
Minutes 14d
8.2
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
7.4
Country comfort
Context
7.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Korda S.Ugo Carabelli C.
Freshness·
—
96

Ugo Carabelli C.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
21°CDrizzle
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 81%
Final
Sinner J.[2]
Lehecka J.[21]
6-46-4
Semi-finals
Sinner J.[2]
Zverev A.[3]
6-37-64
Lehecka J.[21]
Fils A.[28]
6-26-2
Quarter-finals
Fils A.[28]
Paul T.[22]
6-737-647-66
Lehecka J.[21]
Landaluce M.
7-617-5
Zverev A.[3]
Cerundolo F.[18]
6-16-2
Sinner J.[2]
Tiafoe F.[19]
6-26-2
R16
Zverev A.[3]
Halys Q.
7-647-61
Cerundolo F.[18]
Humbert U.[31]
6-46-3
Tiafoe F.[19]
Atmane T.
6-41-66-4
Landaluce M.
Korda S.[32]
2-67-666-4
Lehecka J.[21]
Fritz T.[6]
6-46-746-2
Fils A.[28]
Vacherot V.[24]
6-46-746-4
Paul T.[22]
Etcheverry T.[29]
6-16-3
Sinner J.[2]
Michelsen A.
7-57-64
R32
Paul T.[22]
Collignon R.
6-23-67-65
Landaluce M.
Khachanov K.[14]
6-37-62
Fils A.[28]
Tsitsipas S.
6-06-1
Halys Q.
Majchrzak K.
7-646-1
Sinner J.[2]
Moutet C.[30]
6-16-4
Korda S.[32]
Alcaraz C.[1]
6-35-76-4
Vacherot V.[24]
Berrettini M.
7-656-4
Lehecka J.[21]
Quinn E.
6-37-66
Michelsen A.
Tabilo A.
3-66-36-4
Cerundolo F.[18]
Medvedev D.[9]
6-04-67-5
Tiafoe F.[19]
Mensik J.[12]
7-644-67-611
Atmane T.
Auger Aliassime F.[7]
6-31-66-3
Fritz T.[6]
Opelka R.
6-36-4
Zverev A.[3]
Cilic M.
6-25-76-4
Etcheverry T.[29]
Jodar R.
7-56-4
Humbert U.[31]
Shevchenko A.
6-47-62
R64
Etcheverry T.[29]
Bergs Z.
7-657-63
Opelka R.
Draper J.[25]
7-637-60
Collignon R.
Cobolli F.[13]
7-56-3
Paul T.[22]
Mannarino A.
6-22-66-4
Shevchenko A.
Shelton B.[8]
6-737-636-3
Halys Q.
Davidovich Fokina A.[16]
7-686-4
Jodar R.
Vukic A.
6-16-2
Zverev A.[3]
Damm M.
6-26-4
Mensik J.[12]
Walton A.
3-66-26-4
Humbert U.[31]
Diallo G.
6-16-4
Korda S.[32]
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-06-3
Cerundolo F.[18]
Tirante T.
6-46-2
Auger Aliassime F.[7]
Fucsovics M.
7-637-5
Lehecka J.[21]
Kouame M.
6-27-5
Majchrzak K.
Tien L.[20]
6-24-66-2
Fils A.[28]
Blanch D.
6-26-3
Vacherot V.[24]
Navone M.
6-36-4
Landaluce M.
Darderi L.[17]
6-36-746-4
Sinner J.[2]
Dzumhur D.
6-36-3
Tabilo A.
Rublev A.[15]
6-756-26-4
Berrettini M.
Bublik A.[10]
6-46-4
Quinn E.
Ruud C.[11]
6-47-67
Michelsen A.
Norrie C.[23]
7-56-746-4
Medvedev D.[9]
Sakamoto R.
6-7106-36-1
Khachanov K.[14]
Bautista Agut R.
6-36-3
Tiafoe F.[19]
Cazaux A.
7-616-1
Fritz T.[6]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-36-726-3
Tsitsipas S.
De Minaur A.[5]
6-37-63
Moutet C.[30]
Machac T.
6-01-66-4
Atmane T.
Rinderknech A.[26]
7-646-3
Cilic M.
Nakashima B.[27]
2-66-47-67
Alcaraz C.[1]
Fonseca J.
6-46-4
R128
Bautista Agut R.
Duckworth J.
7-637-64
Damm M.
Fearnley J.
6-00-0
Bergs Z.
Brooksby J.
7-56-2
Machac T.
Nava E.
2-66-46-1
Walton A.
Baez S.
6-26-2
Cazaux A.
Barrios Vera T.
7-56-4
Fucsovics M.
Oconnell C.
7-666-3
Navone M.
Basilashvili N.
7-676-3
Sakamoto R.
Kovacevic A.
6-43-67-67
Landaluce M.
Giron M.
6-37-66
Quinn E.
Hurkacz H.
6-26-4
Opelka R.
Borges N.
6-766-27-65
Berrettini M.
Muller A.
6-46-2
Tabilo A.
Comesana F.
6-46-2
Dzumhur D.
Buse I.
6-767-666-1
Diallo G.
Wu Y.
6-27-63
Tirante T.
Royer V.
7-56-797-65
Shevchenko A.
Arnaldi M.
7-656-756-2
Kouame M.
Svajda Z.
5-76-46-4
Blanch D.
Struff J.
6-33-66-3
Halys Q.
Draxl L.
6-746-16-1
Majchrzak K.
Kecmanovic M.
4-66-36-1
Atmane T.
Altmaier D.
6-46-2
Ugo Carabelli C.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
2-66-37-63
Collignon R.
Dimitrov G.
7-634-67-66
Tsitsipas S.
Fery A.
6-17-64
Van De Zandschulp B.
Shapovalov D.
7-56-3
Michelsen A.
Bellucci M.
6-26-1
Mannarino A.
Zhang Z.
6-36-2
Jodar R.
Hanfmann Y.
6-44-66-1
Cilic M.
Popyrin A.
6-46-4
Fonseca J.
Marozsan F.
6-43-66-2