Lulu Sun vs Maria Timofeeva — Miami Qualifying Round 1

Miami · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
Lulu Sun
NZL
Lulu Sun
#112WTA
1637ELO
1654Hard ELO
25 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLLLWW
0 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 17 March 2026
hard
Maria Timofeeva
UZB
Maria Timofeeva
#95WTA
1696ELO
1608Hard ELO
22 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Sun L.
6-4 7-6
Timofeeva M.
Sun L.
6772
Timofeeva M.
465–

Lulu Sun defeated Maria Timofeeva 6-4 7-6 in the Miami qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Maria Timofeeva came in ranked #95.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Sun L.serving49% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Timofeeva M.

Timofeeva M.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Sun L.

Serve advantage — Timofeeva M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sun L.Timofeeva M.
59
Serve
—
0
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Sun L.Timofeeva M.
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
48%
Service points won·Even
58%
56%
Return points won·Clear edge
36%
49%
Break points saved·Even
60%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.9
1.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.6
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sun L.Timofeeva M.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
72
54
Break points saved·Clear edge
94
76
Break points won·Dominant
52
96
Deciding sets·Dominant
90
59
Tiebreaks·Dominant
78
20

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sun L.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Timofeeva M.
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
6.5+47 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Hard Elo 1608
6.1Overall Elo 1637
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1696
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.4
Surface form
5.2
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sun L.Timofeeva M.
Freshness·Slight edge
100
92

Sun L.: 16 days rest · Timofeeva M.: 8 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast

Draw — qualifying

Q2
Kraus S.
Semenistaja D.
6-26-3
Volynets K.
Andreescu B.
7-56-2
Birrell K.
Yuan Y.
6-22-66-4
Golubic V.
Bartunkova N.
6-33-67-63
Masarova R.
Seidel E.
6-15-77-5
Kalieva E.
Parry D.
6-46-0
Zakharova A.
Sramkova R.
6-36-2
Gibson T.
Rakhimova K.
6-36-4
Sasnovich A.
Zarazua R.
6-36-4
Starodubtseva Y.
Stoiana M.
6-26-2
Fruhvirtova L.
Lepchenko V.
6-36-2
Sun L.
Vekic D.
6-36-3
Q1
Birrell K.
Tomova V.
6-36-2
Yuan Y.
Brantmeier R.
6-766-46-2
Golubic V.
Frodin T.
2-66-36-2
Bartunkova N.
Dolehide C.
6-33-66-3
Seidel E.
Stakusic M.
6-47-5
Masarova R.
Hunter S.
6-24-66-2
Kalieva E.
Melnikova M.
6-46-2
Parry D.
Stefanini L.
6-24-67-5
Zakharova A.
Chirico L.
6-26-1
Sramkova R.
Andreeva E.
6-46-2
Rakhimova K.
Jeanjean L.
6-717-56-0
Gibson T.
Gorgodze E.
6-36-2
Zarazua R.
Trevisan M.
4-66-36-3
Sasnovich A.
Aksu A.
6-46-4
Stoiana M.
Juvan K.
4-66-43-0
Starodubtseva Y.
Inglis M.
7-637-5
Lepchenko V.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
6-21-66-1
Fruhvirtova L.
Brengle M.
6-46-726-3
Volynets K.
Hon P.
6-16-726-3
Andreescu B.
Lamens S.
4-66-17-5
Semenistaja D.
Ekstrand M.
6-06-4
Kraus S.
Radivojevic L.
7-646-3
Sun L.
Timofeeva M.
6-47-65
Vekic D.
Osuigwe W.
6-46-2