Varvara Lepchenko vs Victoria Jimenez KasintsevaMiami Qualifying Round 1

Miami · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#175WTA
1578ELO
1559Hard ELO
40 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 17 March 2026
hard
#110WTA
1599ELO
1579Hard ELO
20 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLLLLL
Lepchenko V.
6-2 1-6 6-1
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
Lepchenko V.
6162
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
2611

Varvara Lepchenko defeated Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 6-2 1-6 6-1 in the Miami qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva came in ranked #110.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Lepchenko V.serving56% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Jimenez Kasintseva V.

Jimenez Kasintseva V.serving51% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Lepchenko V.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Lepchenko V.Jimenez Kasintseva V.
Serve
0
Return
55

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
56%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
45%
Service points won·Even
55%
53%
Return points won·Even
43%
43%
Break points saved·Even
54%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.5
1.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.1
4.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
47
52
Break points saved·Clear edge
64
82
Break points won·Clear edge
65
88
Deciding sets·Dominant
72
26
Tiebreaks·Dominant
39
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9Hard Elo 1559
Surface ELO
5.1+20 Hard Elo edge
5.0Overall Elo 1578
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1599
10.0No prior meetings
H2H
0.0
5.0
Surface form
7.2
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.4
3-set count
0.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
72
99

Lepchenko V.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 73 games (7d) · Jimenez Kasintseva V.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast