Miguel Tobon vs Quinn Vandecasteele — Cuernavaca CH Qualifying Round 2

Cuernavaca CH · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
COL8
Miguel Tobon
#466ATP
1328ELO
1301Hard ELO
20 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 16 March 2026
hard
USA3
Quinn Vandecasteele
#461ATP
1383ELO
1368Hard ELO
23 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWLLL
Tobon M.
2-6 6-2 6-3
Vandecasteele Q.
Tobon M.
2662
Vandecasteele Q.
6231

Miguel Tobon defeated Quinn Vandecasteele 2-6 6-2 6-3 in the Cuernavaca CH qualifying round 2 on hard.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Tobon M.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Vandecasteele Q.

Vandecasteele Q.serving77% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Tobon M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Tobon M.Vandecasteele Q.
1st serve in·Even
57%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
48%
Service points won·Even
64%
62%
Return points won·Even
40%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
61%
Aces / match·Even
5.6
5.5
Double faults / match·Even
3.4
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Tobon M.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Vandecasteele Q.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
3.9Hard Elo 1301
Surface ELO
6.1+67 Hard Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1328
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1383
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.0
Surface form
5.7
0.0Lost last 10
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.5
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
Surface transition
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Tobon M.Vandecasteele Q.
Freshness·Dominant
99
61

Tobon M.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Vandecasteele Q.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 91 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Q2
Catry R.[1]
Osorio J.
6-756-46-2
Delaney J.[2]
Dalmasso G.[12]
7-54-66-2
Tobon M.[8]
Vandecasteele Q.[3]
2-66-26-3
Colson T.[4]
Flores J.
6-46-4
Yuzuki T.
Poling K.[5]
6-26-767-66
Rubio Fierros A.[7]
Heredia S.
6-16-1
Q1
Catry R.[1]
Mendez Montiel D.
6-17-60
Delaney J.[2]
De Alba R.
6-46-2
Colson T.[4]
Linde Palacios S.
6-06-1
Rubio Fierros A.[7]
Sau Franco A.
6-40-66-1
Vandecasteele Q.[3]
Corwin F.
6-27-5
Tobon M.[8]
Tunas G.
6-16-1
Osorio J.
Reymond A.[10]
7-630-0
Dalmasso G.[12]
Jauregui Sainz De Rozas R.
6-36-2
Flores J.
Covato M.[11]
7-636-2
Poling K.[5]
Kumar P.
6-36-4
Yuzuki T.
Gonzalez Fernandez M.[9]
7-656-4
Heredia S.
Gomez J.[6]
5-76-46-4