Pablo Carreno Busta vs Andrea Pellegrino — Murcia CH Quarter-final

Murcia CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
Pablo Carreno Busta
ESP3
Pablo Carreno Busta
#71ATP
1801ELO
1767Clay ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 March 2026
clay
Andrea Pellegrino
ITA7
Andrea Pellegrino
#133ATP
1674ELO
1654Clay ELO
$320kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWLW
Carreno Busta P.
6-3 6-4
Pellegrino A.
Carreno Busta P.
662
Pellegrino A.
340

Pablo Carreno Busta defeated Andrea Pellegrino 6-3 6-4 in the Murcia CH quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in ranked #71, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Carreno Busta P.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Pellegrino A.

Pellegrino A.serving70% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Carreno Busta P.Pellegrino A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
63%
62%
Return points won·Even
40%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
52%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.7
3.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.4
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Carreno Busta P.Pellegrino A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
55
Break points saved·Dominant
97
67
Break points won·Dominant
61
35
Deciding sets·Even
80
82
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
95
73

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Carreno Busta P.
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Pellegrino A.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.2+113 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.8Clay Elo 1654
7.5Overall Elo 1801
ELO gap
2.5Overall Elo 1674
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.9
Surface form
6.5
Win streak
9.06-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Surface transition
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Carreno Busta P.Pellegrino A.
Freshness·Slight edge
90
81

Carreno Busta P.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Pellegrino A.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Final
Carreno Busta P.[3]
Carballes Baena R.[8]
6-46-3
Semi-finals
Carballes Baena R.[8]
De Jong J.[1]
2-66-46-4
Carreno Busta P.[3]
Coppejans K.
6-26-3
Quarter-finals
Carballes Baena R.[8]
Ofner S.[4]
7-642-66-1
Carreno Busta P.[3]
Pellegrino A.[7]
6-36-4
De Jong J.[1]
Llamas Ruiz P.
6-36-2
Coppejans K.
Bailly G.
6-03-66-3
R16
De Jong J.[1]
Houkes M.
6-16-3
Llamas Ruiz P.
Choinski J.[6]
6-26-746-3
Ofner S.[4]
Brancaccio R.
6-06-4
Pellegrino A.[7]
Engel J.
3-66-27-5
Bailly G.
Moro Canas A.
7-56-756-2
Carreno Busta P.[3]
Gill F.
4-66-36-2
Coppejans K.
Negritu C.
7-56-4
Carballes Baena R.[8]
Kukushkin M.
6-13-66-2
R32
Houkes M.
Wessels L.
6-26-2
De Jong J.[1]
Hassan B.
6-33-66-3
Ofner S.[4]
Ferreira Silva F.
6-27-64
Brancaccio R.
Sanchez Quilez A.
7-646-2
Kukushkin M.
Butvilas E.
7-646-4
Engel J.
Shelbayh A.
6-33-67-5
Coppejans K.
Moller E.[5]
6-46-1
Negritu C.
Gakhov I.
6-16-2
Carballes Baena R.[8]
Sanchez Izquierdo N.
6-37-65
Pellegrino A.[7]
Martin Tiffon P.
6-46-4
Gill F.
Pieczonka F.
6-33-67-65
Carreno Busta P.[3]
Sanchez Jover C.
7-636-1
Bailly G.
Purtseladze S.
6-34-66-4
Moro Canas A.
Gaubas V.[2]
7-626-2
Choinski J.[6]
Damas M.
4-66-46-4
Llamas Ruiz P.
Jorda Sanchis D.
6-16-2