Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix GillMurcia CH Round of 16

Murcia CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#71ATP
1801ELO
1767Clay ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 16 March 2026
clay
#220ATP
1499ELO
1424Clay ELO
24 yrs · 175 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWLL
Carreno Busta P.
4-6 6-3 6-2
Gill F.
Carreno Busta P.
4662
Gill F.
6321

Pablo Carreno Busta defeated Felix Gill 4-6 6-3 6-2 in the Murcia CH round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in ranked #71, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Carreno Busta P.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Gill F.

Gill F.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Serve advantage — Carreno Busta P.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
54%
Service points won·Even
63%
64%
Return points won·Even
40%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.6
4.5
Double faults / match·Even
1.4
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
78
46
Break points saved·Clear edge
97
78
Break points won·Dominant
61
6
Deciding sets·Slight edge
80
70
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
95
76

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.3+342 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.7Clay Elo 1424
8.7Overall Elo 1801
ELO gap
1.3Overall Elo 1499
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.9
Surface form
4.8
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Prev. match
7.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
89
57

Carreno Busta P.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Gill F.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 79 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast