Roberto Carballes Baena vs Jesper De JongMurcia CH Semi-final

Murcia CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#165ATP
1632ELO
1612Clay ELO
$188kYTD
$6.3MCAREER
33 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 16 March 2026
clay
#73ATP
1711ELO
1696Clay ELO
$612kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWWWWWL
Carballes Baena R.
2-6 6-4 6-4
De Jong J.
Carballes Baena R.
2662
De Jong J.
6441

Roberto Carballes Baena defeated Jesper De Jong 2-6 6-4 6-4 in the Murcia CH semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Jesper De Jong came in ranked #73, defending last year's final.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Carballes Baena R.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs De Jong J.

De Jong J.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Carballes Baena R.

Serve advantage — Carballes Baena R.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Carballes Baena R.De Jong J.
Serve
49
Return
32

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
48%
Service points won·Even
63%
60%
Return points won·Even
40%
39%
Break points saved·Even
56%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.2
6.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
61
56
Break points saved·Even
93
90
Break points won·Clear edge
58
37
Deciding sets·Slight edge
64
69
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
50
57

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Clay Elo 1612
Surface ELO
5.3+84 Clay Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1632
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1711
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
2.9
Surface form
7.0
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
7.8
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
Prev. match
9.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
92
92

Carballes Baena R.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 12 games (7d) · De Jong J.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast