Billy Harris vs Adrian MannarinoPhoenix CH Quarter-final

Phoenix CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#155ATP
1508ELO
1473Hard ELO
$236kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
31 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 10 March 2026
hard
#40ATP
1673ELO
1647Hard ELO
$633kYTD
$15MCAREER
38 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLWW
Harris B.
6-4 6-7 6-4
Mannarino A.
Harris B.
66462
Mannarino A.
47741

Billy Harris defeated Adrian Mannarino 6-4 6-7 6-4 in the Phoenix CH quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Adrian Mannarino came in ranked #40.

Key context

  • Match story: Billy Harris edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–7 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Harris B.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Mannarino A.

Mannarino A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Harris B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Harris B.Mannarino A.
Serve
37
Return
32

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
48%
Service points won·Even
63%
61%
Return points won·Even
34%
34%
Break points saved·Even
56%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.4
5.2
Double faults / match·Even
2.0
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
47
65
Break points saved·Slight edge
91
96
Break points won·Dominant
10
66
Deciding sets·Slight edge
82
72
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
23
38

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.8Hard Elo 1473
Surface ELO
7.2+175 Hard Elo edge
2.9Overall Elo 1508
ELO gap
7.1Overall Elo 1673
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
2.2
Surface form
4.2
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
9.1
Minutes 14d
8.3
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
95
73

Harris B.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Mannarino A.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast