Mariano Navone vs Mattia BellucciCap Cana CH Final

Cap Cana CH · CHALLENGER · Final
#38ATP
1822ELO
1693Hard ELO
$722kYTD
$3.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 10 March 2026
hard
#67ATP
1720ELO
1678Hard ELO
$587kYTD
$2.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLL
Navone M.
7-5 6-4
Bellucci M.
Navone M.
762
Bellucci M.
540

Mariano Navone defeated Mattia Bellucci 7-5 6-4 in the Cap Cana CH final on hard. The result followed the form book — Mariano Navone came in ranked #38.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Navone M.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Bellucci M.

Bellucci M.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Navone M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Navone M.Bellucci M.
3
Serve
0
51
Return
40

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
71%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.3
4.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.6
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
75
60
Break points saved·Slight edge
86
96
Break points won·Dominant
90
10
Deciding sets·Even
77
81
Tiebreaks·Dominant
60
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.2+15 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Hard Elo 1678
6.2Overall Elo 1822
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1720
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
1.4
Surface form
4.4
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.6
Minutes 14d
8.7
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
93
100

Navone M.: 10 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Bellucci M.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast