Stefano Napolitano vs Joel SchwaerzlerKigali 2 CH Round of 32

Kigali 2 CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#240ATP
1528ELO
1520Clay ELO
31 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWLLLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 9 March 2026
clay
#171ATP
1577ELO
1537Clay ELO
$101kYTD
$299kCAREER
20 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWLWL
Napolitano S.
7-6 7-6
Schwaerzler J.
Napolitano S.
715772
Schwaerzler J.
613640

Stefano Napolitano defeated Joel Schwaerzler 7-6 7-6 in the Kigali 2 CH round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Joel Schwaerzler came in ranked #171, defending last year's round of 32, but Stefano Napolitano had arrived on a 4-match winning run.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Napolitano S.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Schwaerzler J.

Schwaerzler J.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Napolitano S.

Serve advantage — Napolitano S.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
58%
51%
Service points won·Even
67%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
67%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.1
6.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.7
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
33
55
Break points saved·Clear edge
77
89
Break points won·Slight edge
13
4
Deciding sets·Dominant
55
83
Tiebreaks·Dominant
26
77

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Clay Elo 1520
Surface ELO
5.4+18 Clay Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1528
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1577
0.0No prior meetings
H2H
10.0
5.9
Surface form
10.0
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
10.014-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
2.8
Minutes 14d
0.0
4.0
3-set count
0.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
81
78

Napolitano S.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 24 games (7d) · Schwaerzler J.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast