Paula Badosa vs Lulu Sun — Austin 125 1 Round of 16

Austin 125 1 · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
Paula Badosa
ESP
Paula Badosa
#141WTA
1780ELO
1748Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLLWWLL
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 9 March 2026
hard
Lulu Sun
NZL
Lulu Sun
#112WTA
1637ELO
1654Hard ELO
25 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLLLWW
Badosa P.
6-1 7-6
Sun L.
Badosa P.
6782
Sun L.
166–

Paula Badosa defeated Lulu Sun 6-1 7-6 in the Austin 125 1 round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Lulu Sun came in ranked #112. Paula Badosa extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Paula Badosa came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 7–6.

Head to head

1–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-17DubaiR64hardPaula Badosa6-3 6-4
2024-02-19DubaiR64hardLulu Sun6-4 RET

Serve vs return

This season
Badosa P.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Sun L.

Sun L.serving65% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Badosa P.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Badosa P.Sun L.
21
Serve
59
19
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Badosa P.Sun L.
1st serve in·Even
56%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
66%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
38%
50%
Service points won·Even
55%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
52%
61%
Aces / match·Even
4.8
5.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
7.9
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Badosa P.Sun L.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
93
72
Break points saved·Even
95
94
Break points won·Dominant
94
52
Deciding sets·Slight edge
95
90
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
94
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Badosa P.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Sun L.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+93 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Hard Elo 1654
6.0Overall Elo 1780
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1637
5.4
H2H
4.6
2.9
Surface form
3.4
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
9.2
9.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Badosa P.Sun L.
Freshness·Dominant
67
100

Badosa P.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 59 games (7d) · Sun L.: 16 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Draw

Final
Tararudee L.
Andreescu B.
6-33-66-3
Semi-finals
Andreescu B.
Badosa P.
6-23-66-3
Tararudee L.
Birrell K.
6-47-64
Quarter-finals
Badosa P.
Kraus S.
7-56-1
Andreescu B.
Jones E.
6-43-66-3
Tararudee L.
Zakharova A.
6-36-4
Birrell K.
Kessler M.
6-737-636-0
R16
Tararudee L.
Mcnally C.
6-34-66-3
Badosa P.
Sun L.
6-17-66
Kraus S.
Selekhmeteva O.
6-21-66-4
Andreescu B.
Zarazua R.
6-37-5
Jones E.
Vekic D.
6-37-64
Kessler M.
Juvan K.
5-76-46-2
Zakharova A.
Fruhvirtova L.
6-06-2
Birrell K.
Rakhimova K.
6-21-66-2
R32
Sun L.
Navarro E.
6-46-4
Zakharova A.
Golubic V.
7-57-5
Badosa P.
Ruse E.
2-66-27-5
Kraus S.
Stefanini L.
6-36-4
Selekhmeteva O.
Yuan Y.
6-46-3
Andreescu B.
Sierra S.
6-32-66-3
Zarazua R.
Blinkova A.
6-36-746-4
Jones E.
Inglis M.
6-46-1
Vekic D.
Marcinko P.
6-36-4
Mcnally C.
Starodubtseva Y.
7-54-66-4
Tararudee L.
Galfi D.
6-47-65
Fruhvirtova L.
Haddad Maia B.
6-36-746-4
Birrell K.
Seidel E.
7-676-1
Rakhimova K.
Lamens S.
5-76-16-4
Juvan K.
Sakatsume H.
6-46-4
Kessler M.
Waltert S.
7-666-3