Paula Badosa vs Elena Gabriela Ruse — Austin 125 1 Round of 32

Austin 125 1 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Paula Badosa
ESP
Paula Badosa
#115WTA
1780ELO
1748Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 9 March 2026
hard
Elena Gabriela Ruse
ROU
Elena Gabriela Ruse
#72WTA
1850ELO
1754Hard ELO
28 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWWWLW
Badosa P.
2-6 6-2 7-5
Ruse E.
Badosa P.
2672
Ruse E.
6251

Paula Badosa defeated Elena Gabriela Ruse 2-6 6-2 7-5 in the Austin 125 1 round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Elena Gabriela Ruse came in ranked #72. Paula Badosa extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

2–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR64clayPaula Badosa3-6 6-4 6-4
2024-08-26US OpenR32hardPaula Badosa4-6 6-1 7-6(8)
2022-02-14DubaiR32hardElena Gabriela Ruse6-3 5-7 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Badosa P.serving56% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Ruse E.

Ruse E.serving63% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Badosa P.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Badosa P.Ruse E.
21
Serve
0
19
Return
32

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Badosa P.Ruse E.
1st serve in·Even
56%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
39%
48%
Service points won·Even
56%
58%
Return points won·Even
43%
44%
Break points saved·Even
54%
51%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.8
4.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
7.5
4.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Badosa P.Ruse E.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
93
66
Break points saved·Clear edge
95
72
Break points won·Even
94
98
Deciding sets·Even
95
97
Tiebreaks·Dominant
94
5

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Badosa P.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Ruse E.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.1Hard Elo 1748
Surface ELO
4.9+7 Hard Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1780
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1850
5.0
H2H
5.0
2.9
Surface form
5.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
9.1
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Badosa P.Ruse E.
Freshness·Dominant
68
98

Badosa P.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 81 games (7d) · Ruse E.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Draw

Final
Tararudee L.
Andreescu B.
6-33-66-3
Semi-finals
Andreescu B.
Badosa P.
6-23-66-3
Tararudee L.
Birrell K.
6-47-64
Quarter-finals
Badosa P.
Kraus S.
7-56-1
Andreescu B.
Jones E.
6-43-66-3
Tararudee L.
Zakharova A.
6-36-4
Birrell K.
Kessler M.
6-737-636-0
R16
Tararudee L.
Mcnally C.
6-34-66-3
Badosa P.
Sun L.
6-17-66
Kraus S.
Selekhmeteva O.
6-21-66-4
Andreescu B.
Zarazua R.
6-37-5
Jones E.
Vekic D.
6-37-64
Kessler M.
Juvan K.
5-76-46-2
Zakharova A.
Fruhvirtova L.
6-06-2
Birrell K.
Rakhimova K.
6-21-66-2
R32
Sun L.
Navarro E.
6-46-4
Zakharova A.
Golubic V.
7-57-5
Badosa P.
Ruse E.
2-66-27-5
Kraus S.
Stefanini L.
6-36-4
Selekhmeteva O.
Yuan Y.
6-46-3
Andreescu B.
Sierra S.
6-32-66-3
Zarazua R.
Blinkova A.
6-36-746-4
Jones E.
Inglis M.
6-46-1
Vekic D.
Marcinko P.
6-36-4
Mcnally C.
Starodubtseva Y.
7-54-66-4
Tararudee L.
Galfi D.
6-47-65
Fruhvirtova L.
Haddad Maia B.
6-36-746-4
Birrell K.
Seidel E.
7-676-1
Rakhimova K.
Lamens S.
5-76-16-4
Juvan K.
Sakatsume H.
6-46-4
Kessler M.
Waltert S.
7-666-3