Ariana Arseneault vs Sabastiani Leon — W15 Victoriaville Round of 32

W15 Victoriaville · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
CAN
Ariana Arseneault
#424WTA
1273ELO
1260Hard ELO
24 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLLWL
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 9 March 2026
hard
MEX
Sabastiani Leon
#901WTA
34 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLLLL
Arseneault A.
6-4 6-4
Leon S.
Arseneault A.
662
Leon S.
44–

Ariana Arseneault defeated Sabastiani Leon 6-4 6-4 in the W15 Victoriaville round of 32 on hard.

Key context

  • Match story: Ariana Arseneault edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Arseneault A.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Leon S.

Leon S.serving39% hold

wins 46% of points on serve vs Arseneault A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Arseneault A.Leon S.
1st serve in·Clear edge
59%
77%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
53%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
35%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
49%
Return points won·Even
46%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
46%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.0
0.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.6
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Arseneault A.
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Leon S.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.8
Surface form
2.5
9.06-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Arseneault A.Leon S.
Freshness·
81
—

Arseneault A.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast

Draw

Final
Adeshina E.
Vagramov A.
6-44-66-2
Semi-finals
Vagramov A.
Moe K.
6-16-2
Adeshina E.
Liu K.
3-66-46-4
Quarter-finals
Vagramov A.
Arseneault A.
6-22-0
Moe K.
Johnson S.
6-36-4
Liu K.
Ivanova D.
6-16-4
Adeshina E.
Rennard C.
7-56-1
R16
Rennard C.
Vozniak K.
6-37-65
Adeshina E.
Lagaev N.
6-46-0
Arseneault A.
Marton I.
1-66-17-5
Vagramov A.
Shumate S.
6-36-4
Johnson S.
Robinson J.
6-12-67-63
Liu K.
Brown J.
6-27-62
Ivanova D.
Kosan K.
3-66-36-3
Moe K.
Bohrer Martins C.
4-66-46-3
R32
Kosan K.
Schlepphorst A.
6-26-4
Bohrer Martins C.
Taylor A.
6-26-4
Rennard C.
Alexander A.
3-67-646-2
Johnson S.
Bhopal A.
6-16-0
Shumate S.
Xie C.
6-46-3
Moe K.
Qostal L.
6-07-61
Brown J.
Grubor A.
6-46-3
Vozniak K.
Bayerlova M.
2-66-26-2
Ivanova D.
Thibault E.
6-26-2
Arseneault A.
Leon S.
6-46-4
Adeshina E.
Colyer R.
7-56-4
Vagramov A.
Smith R.
7-53-66-2
Liu K.
Tabunshchyk A.
6-46-2
Marton I.
Mcphillips K.
7-627-5
Robinson J.
Frodin T.
6-26-2
Lagaev N.
Cabio A.
6-36-4