Bianca Andreescu vs Paula BadosaAustin 125 1 Semi-final

Austin 125 1 · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#173WTA
1701ELO
1690Hard ELO
26 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 9 March 2026
hard
#115WTA
1780ELO
1748Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLLWWL
Andreescu B.
6-2 3-6 6-3
Badosa P.
Andreescu B.
6362
Badosa P.
2631

Bianca Andreescu defeated Paula Badosa 6-2 3-6 6-3 in the Austin 125 1 semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Paula Badosa came in ranked #115.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Andreescu B.serving61% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Badosa P.

Badosa P.serving54% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Andreescu B.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Andreescu B.Badosa P.
Serve
21
Return
19

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
38%
Service points won·Even
58%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
50%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.1
4.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.5
7.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
82
93
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
95
Break points won·Slight edge
89
94
Deciding sets·Slight edge
87
95
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
75
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1690
Surface ELO
5.6+58 Hard Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1701
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1780
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.1
Surface form
2.9
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.3
Minutes 14d
9.2
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
68

Andreescu B.: 15 days rest · Badosa P.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 81 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast