Nicolas Moreno De Alboran vs Matias SotoSantiago CH Round of 32

Santiago CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#867ATP
1584ELO
1538Clay ELO
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 9 March 2026
clay
#296ATP
1421ELO
1412Clay ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLWLW
Moreno De Alboran N.
7-5 6-3
Soto M.
Moreno De Alboran N.
762
Soto M.
530

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran defeated Matias Soto 7-5 6-3 in the Santiago CH round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Matias Soto came in ranked #296, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Moreno De Alboran N.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Soto M.

Soto M.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Moreno De Alboran N.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
66%
54%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Even
65%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.8
4.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.5
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (13 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
43
34
Break points saved·Dominant
88
51
Break points won·Slight edge
5
14
Deciding sets·Slight edge
58
68
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
67
56

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.9+126 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Clay Elo 1412
6.4Overall Elo 1584
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1421
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.8
Surface form
3.5
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Minutes 14d
7.7
4.0
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
55

Moreno De Alboran N.: 19 days rest · Soto M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 77 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast