Denis Shapovalov vs Stefanos Tsitsipas — Indian Wells Masters Round of 128

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 128
Denis Shapovalov
CAN
Denis Shapovalov
#41ATP
1771ELO
1775Hard ELO
$749kYTD
$15MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026
hard
Stefanos Tsitsipas
GRE
Stefanos Tsitsipas
#87ATP
1833ELO
1803Hard ELO
$992kYTD
$38MCAREER
27 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLWW
Shapovalov D.
6-2 3-6 6-4
Tsitsipas S.
Shapovalov D.
6362
Tsitsipas S.
2641

Denis Shapovalov defeated Stefanos Tsitsipas 6-2 3-6 6-4 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 128 on hard. The result followed the form book — Denis Shapovalov came in ranked #41, leading the head-to-head 4–2, defending last year's round of 32. Denis Shapovalov extended the head-to-head to 5–2.

Key context

Head to head

4–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-03-18Miami MastersR64hardDenis Shapovalov6-2 6-4
2023-04-17BarcelonaR16clayStefanos Tsitsipas6-3 6-2
2020-01-06Atp CupRRhardDenis Shapovalov7-6(6) 7-6(4)
2019-03-18Miami MastersR16hardDenis Shapovalov4-6 6-3 7-6(3)
2018-04-16Monte Carlo MastersR64clayStefanos Tsitsipas6-3 6-4
2018-01-15Australian OpenR128hardDenis Shapovalov6-1 6-3 7-6(5)

Serve vs return

This season
Shapovalov D.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Tsitsipas S.

Tsitsipas S.serving93% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Shapovalov D.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Shapovalov D.Tsitsipas S.
25
Serve
57
70
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Shapovalov D.Tsitsipas S.
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
79%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
69%
Return points won·Even
35%
34%
Break points saved·Clear edge
58%
72%
Aces / match·Even
7.3
7.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.4
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Shapovalov D.Tsitsipas S.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
85
90
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Slight edge
71
77
Deciding sets·Slight edge
92
99
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
84
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Shapovalov D.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Tsitsipas S.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Hard Elo 1775
Surface ELO
5.3+27 Hard Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1771
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1833
10.0
H2H
0.0
5.2
Surface form
5.7
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
9.2
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
5.5
Country comfort
5.6
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Shapovalov D.Tsitsipas S.
Freshness·Slight edge
97
92

Shapovalov D.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Tsitsipas S.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 11%
Final
Sinner J.[2]
Medvedev D.[11]
7-667-64
Semi-finals
Medvedev D.[11]
Alcaraz C.[1]
6-37-63
Sinner J.[2]
Zverev A.[4]
6-26-4
Quarter-finals
Sinner J.[2]
Tien L.[25]
6-16-2
Alcaraz C.[1]
Norrie C.[27]
6-36-4
Zverev A.[4]
Fils A.[30]
6-26-3
Medvedev D.[11]
Draper J.[14]
6-17-5
R16
Sinner J.[2]
Fonseca J.
7-667-64
Tien L.[25]
Davidovich Fokina A.[18]
4-66-17-64
Medvedev D.[11]
Michelsen A.
6-26-4
Alcaraz C.[1]
Ruud C.[13]
6-17-62
Draper J.[14]
Djokovic N.[3]
4-66-47-65
Fils A.[30]
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
6-37-69
Zverev A.[4]
Tiafoe F.[21]
6-36-4
Norrie C.[27]
Hijikata R.
6-46-2
R32
Fonseca J.
Paul T.[23]
6-26-3
Michelsen A.
Fritz T.[7]
6-47-66
Sinner J.[2]
Shapovalov D.
6-36-2
Norrie C.[27]
De Minaur A.[6]
6-46-4
Draper J.[14]
Cerundolo F.[19]
6-17-5
Alcaraz C.[1]
Rinderknech A.[26]
6-766-36-2
Ruud C.[13]
Vacherot V.[24]
3-66-36-4
Fils A.[30]
Fucsovics M.
6-37-5
Zverev A.[4]
Nakashima B.[28]
7-625-76-4
Davidovich Fokina A.[18]
Mensik J.[12]
6-24-66-2
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Diallo G.
6-756-36-3
Medvedev D.[11]
Baez S.
6-46-0
Djokovic N.[3]
Kovacevic A.
6-41-66-4
Hijikata R.
Bublik A.[10]
6-737-636-3
Tiafoe F.[21]
Cobolli F.[15]
6-16-2
Tien L.[25]
Shelton B.[8]
7-634-66-3
R64
Tien L.[25]
Walton A.
7-637-68
Sinner J.[2]
Svrcina D.
6-16-1
Fucsovics M.
Musetti L.[5]
7-56-1
Rinderknech A.[26]
Cerundolo J.
W/O
Fils A.[30]
Prizmic D.
6-23-2
Paul T.[23]
Bergs Z.
6-16-2
Michelsen A.
Humbert U.[32]
7-56-757-66
Cerundolo F.[19]
Bonzi B.
6-45-77-65
Tiafoe F.[21]
Brooksby J.
6-46-2
Baez S.
Lehecka J.[22]
6-46-1
Norrie C.[27]
Mcdonald M.
6-26-3
Fonseca J.
Khachanov K.[16]
4-67-676-4
Ruud C.[13]
Shevchenko A.
6-17-64
Hijikata R.
Darderi L.[20]
4-66-26-4
Davidovich Fokina A.[18]
Svajda Z.
7-606-2
Medvedev D.[11]
Tabilo A.
6-46-2
Alcaraz C.[1]
Dimitrov G.
6-26-3
Vacherot V.[24]
Borges N.
7-57-5
Kovacevic A.
Moutet C.[31]
6-16-4
Draper J.[14]
Bautista Agut R.
3-66-36-2
Mensik J.[12]
Giron M.
7-57-64
Zverev A.[4]
Berrettini M.
6-36-4
Fritz T.[7]
Fearnley J.
6-36-786-1
De Minaur A.[6]
Korda S.
4-66-46-4
Djokovic N.[3]
Majchrzak K.
4-66-16-2
Nakashima B.[28]
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-36-4
Cobolli F.[15]
Kecmanovic M.
3-66-36-4
Diallo G.
Rublev A.[17]
6-747-616-3
Bublik A.[10]
Kopriva V.
3-67-636-2
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Monfils G.
6-756-36-4
Shelton B.[8]
Opelka R.
6-737-646-3
Shapovalov D.
Etcheverry T.[29]
6-32-67-65
R128
Kovacevic A.
Hurkacz H.
7-667-64
Kecmanovic M.
Altmaier D.
6-31-0
Bergs Z.
Struff J.
6-36-4
Borges N.
Nava E.
7-697-5
Shapovalov D.
Tsitsipas S.
6-23-66-4
Svajda Z.
Cilic M.
7-656-4
Fearnley J.
Dzumhur D.
6-36-3
Hijikata R.
Maestrelli F.
7-656-4
Majchrzak K.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-31-67-5
Shevchenko A.
Shimabukuro S.
6-43-66-2
Giron M.
Navone M.
4-67-56-3
Berrettini M.
Mannarino A.
4-67-57-5
Diallo G.
Bellucci M.
7-656-4
Kopriva V.
Zheng M.
7-617-5
Fonseca J.
Collignon R.
7-626-4
Brooksby J.
Popyrin A.
6-36-4
Ugo Carabelli C.
Damm M.
7-656-3
Prizmic D.
Schoolkate T.
7-653-67-5
Walton A.
Halys Q.
6-36-3
Svrcina D.
Duckworth J.
6-26-4
Baez S.
Tseng C.
6-36-2
Cerundolo J.
Van De Zandschulp B.
7-636-756-3
Korda S.
Comesana F.
7-56-0
Mcdonald M.
Arnaldi M.
6-06-1
Monfils G.
Galarneau A.
6-36-4
Bonzi B.
Royer V.
6-46-3
Tabilo A.
Jodar R.
6-16-2
Dimitrov G.
Atmane T.
6-45-76-4
Opelka R.
Quinn E.
7-57-63
Michelsen A.
Merida Aguilar D.
6-36-4
Bautista Agut R.
Marozsan F.
6-46-726-4
Fucsovics M.
Oconnell C.
7-56-3