Cameron Norrie vs Mackenzie McdonaldIndian Wells Masters Round of 64

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#29ATP
1829ELO
1789Hard ELO
$963kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026
hard
#145ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$240kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
Norrie C.
6-2 6-3
Mcdonald M.
Norrie C.
662
Mcdonald M.
230

Cameron Norrie defeated Mackenzie Mcdonald 6-2 6-3 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Cameron Norrie came in ranked #29, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 32. Cameron Norrie extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2019-02-25AcapulcoQFhardCameron Norrie6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Norrie C.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Mcdonald M.

Mcdonald M.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Norrie C.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Norrie C.Mcdonald M.
45
Serve
25
34
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
56%
Service points won·Even
64%
61%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.4
3.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
89
56
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Clear edge
83
66
Deciding sets·Dominant
98
45
Tiebreaks·Dominant
89
44

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.4+185 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.6Hard Elo 1604
7.9Overall Elo 1829
ELO gap
2.1Overall Elo 1606
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.4
Surface form
3.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
9.4
Minutes 14d
8.4
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
6.0
5.6
Country comfort
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
94
89

Norrie C.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Mcdonald M.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 11%