Francesco Maestrelli vs Thiago Agustin Tirante — Indian Wells Masters Qualifying Round 2

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Qualifying Round 2
Francesco Maestrelli
ITA13
Francesco Maestrelli
#128ATP
1538ELO
1551Hard ELO
$297kYTD
$881kCAREER
23 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026
hard
Thiago Agustin Tirante
ARG3
Thiago Agustin Tirante
#55ATP
1741ELO
1636Hard ELO
$714kYTD
$2.0MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLLWW
Maestrelli F.
7-6 6-4
Tirante T.
Maestrelli F.
7762
Tirante T.
6540

Francesco Maestrelli defeated Thiago Agustin Tirante 7-6 6-4 in the Indian Wells Masters qualifying round 2 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Thiago Agustin Tirante came in ranked #55.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Maestrelli F.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Tirante T.

Tirante T.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Maestrelli F.

Serve advantage — Tirante T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Maestrelli F.Tirante T.
1st serve in·Even
63%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
76%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
67%
Return points won·Even
35%
37%
Break points saved·Even
63%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.4
8.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.4
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Maestrelli F.Tirante T.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
56
44
Break points saved·Even
83
85
Break points won·Clear edge
14
29
Deciding sets·Dominant
83
44
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
79
67

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Maestrelli F.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 23 days (−0.3)
Tirante T.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1551
Surface ELO
5.6+85 Hard Elo edge
3.3Overall Elo 1538
ELO gap
6.7Overall Elo 1741
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
6.0
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Maestrelli F.Tirante T.
Freshness·Even
95
97

Maestrelli F.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Tirante T.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 11%
Q2
Prizmic D.[18]
Vukic A.[4]
6-26-4
Hijikata R.[15]
Buse I.[2]
3-66-36-4
Bonzi B.[9]
Mochizuki S.[16]
6-45-76-3
Merida Aguilar D.
Sweeny D.[23]
6-34-66-3
Galarneau A.
Barrios Vera T.[14]
6-36-4
Svrcina D.[19]
Kopriva V.[1]
7-646-4
Tseng C.
Burruchaga R.[6]
2-67-636-3
Mcdonald M.[17]
Svajda T.
6-46-2
Shimabukuro S.[22]
Landaluce M.
6-26-737-5
Schoolkate T.[11]
Ymer E.
6-43-1
Oconnell C.[10]
Basilashvili N.[24]
6-46-4
Maestrelli F.[13]
Tirante T.[3]
7-656-4
Q1
Galarneau A.
Van Assche L.[7]
7-666-4
Sweeny D.[23]
Johnson A.
6-26-1
Buse I.[2]
Draxl L.
6-47-63
Svrcina D.[19]
Krueger M.
7-666-4
Burruchaga R.[6]
Echargui M.
7-644-67-65
Vukic A.[4]
Travaglia S.
7-627-62
Tseng C.
Goffin D.[21]
6-46-1
Maestrelli F.[13]
Jarry N.
6-44-67-67
Mcdonald M.[17]
Sachko V.
6-26-1
Barrios Vera T.[14]
Leach J.
6-36-3
Landaluce M.
Blockx A.[5]
6-06-2
Ymer E.
Wong C.[20]
6-33-67-65
Svajda T.
Nardi L.[12]
4-67-626-3
Basilashvili N.[24]
Mejia N.
0-66-26-4
Oconnell C.[10]
Harris B.
6-46-3
Merida Aguilar D.
Kypson P.[8]
3-66-37-64
Shimabukuro S.[22]
Smith C.
7-657-5
Bonzi B.[9]
Pinnington Jones J.
6-36-4
Mochizuki S.[16]
Gomez F.
6-44-66-3
Hijikata R.[15]
Riedi L.
7-56-3
Kopriva V.[1]
Sakamoto R.
6-47-66
Prizmic D.[18]
Blanch D.
7-636-0
Tirante T.[3]
Ahmad I.
6-16-2
Schoolkate T.[11]
Bolt A.
3-67-646-4