Naomi Osaka vs Victoria Jimenez KasintsevaIndian Wells Round of 64

Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 64
#14WTA
1987ELO
1922Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$26MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026
hard
#110WTA
1599ELO
1579Hard ELO
20 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLLLLL
Osaka N.
7-5 6-2
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
Osaka N.
762
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
520

Naomi Osaka defeated Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 7-5 6-2 in the Indian Wells round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Naomi Osaka came in ranked #14, defending last year's round of 128.

Key context

  • Match story: Naomi Osaka closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Osaka N.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Jimenez Kasintseva V.

Jimenez Kasintseva V.serving68% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Osaka N.

Serve advantage — Osaka N.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Osaka N.Jimenez Kasintseva V.
70
Serve
0
60
Return
55

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
66%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
70%
57%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
53%
Return points won·Even
40%
43%
Break points saved·Clear edge
67%
54%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.8
1.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.7
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
91
52
Break points saved·Clear edge
96
82
Break points won·Slight edge
97
88
Deciding sets·Dominant
99
26
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
95
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 44 days (−1.0)
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.0+343 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.0Hard Elo 1579
9.4Overall Elo 1987
ELO gap
0.6Overall Elo 1599
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.9
Surface form
5.6
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
5.6
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
4.0
6.2
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
82
99

Osaka N.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d) · Jimenez Kasintseva V.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 11%

Draw