Elvina Kalieva vs Yuliia Starodubtseva — Indian Wells Qualifying Round 1

Indian Wells · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
USA
Elvina Kalieva
#136WTA
1569ELO
1540Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWLLW
0 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026
hard
Yuliia Starodubtseva
UKR
Yuliia Starodubtseva
#55WTA
1759ELO
1668Hard ELO
26 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWLWL
Kalieva E.
6-3 6-1
Starodubtseva Y.
Kalieva E.
662
Starodubtseva Y.
31–

Elvina Kalieva defeated Yuliia Starodubtseva 6-3 6-1 in the Indian Wells qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Yuliia Starodubtseva came in ranked #55.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Kalieva E.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Starodubtseva Y.

Starodubtseva Y.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Kalieva E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kalieva E.Starodubtseva Y.
—
Serve
9
—
Return
51

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Kalieva E.Starodubtseva Y.
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
52%
Service points won·Even
59%
60%
Return points won·Even
43%
46%
Break points saved·Even
57%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.2
2.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.6
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Kalieva E.Starodubtseva Y.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
18
75
Break points saved·Dominant
28
89
Break points won·Slight edge
87
95
Deciding sets·Dominant
37
66
Tiebreaks·Dominant
15
76

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kalieva E.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Starodubtseva Y.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.7Hard Elo 1540
Surface ELO
6.3+129 Hard Elo edge
3.2Overall Elo 1569
ELO gap
6.8Overall Elo 1759
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.5
Surface form
4.2
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kalieva E.Starodubtseva Y.
Freshness·Slight edge
100
95

Kalieva E.: 17 days rest · Starodubtseva Y.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast

Draw — qualifying

Q2
Rakhimova K.
Timofeeva M.
4-65-4
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
Boulter K.
2-67-56-2
Stakusic M.
Sawangkaew M.
6-16-2
Sakatsume H.
Bartunkova N.
7-51-66-3
Tararudee L.
Galfi D.
6-36-4
Zakharova A.
Fruhvirtova L.
6-47-62
Vidmanova D.
Hon P.
7-57-64
Townsend T.
Urhobo A.
6-07-65
Day K.
Semenistaja D.
6-26-1
Parry D.
Sun L.
6-26-3
Hunter S.
Jeanjean L.
6-26-2
Gibson T.
Kalieva E.
4-67-56-3
Q1
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
Stefanini L.
4-66-46-4
Boulter K.
Tomova V.
6-46-3
Stakusic M.
Golubic V.
7-686-2
Sawangkaew M.
Masarova R.
6-37-5
Sakatsume H.
Waltert S.
6-46-4
Bartunkova N.
Jones E.
6-26-2
Galfi D.
Yuan Y.
6-26-4
Tararudee L.
Pareja J.
6-46-3
Zakharova A.
Dolehide C.
7-56-1
Fruhvirtova L.
Lepchenko V.
6-36-3
Hon P.
Zarazua R.
7-57-63
Vidmanova D.
Trevisan M.
6-36-2
Rakhimova K.
Carle M.
6-26-2
Timofeeva M.
Lamens S.
6-26-2
Urhobo A.
Chirico L.
6-32-66-3
Townsend T.
Garland J.
6-46-4
Semenistaja D.
Osuigwe W.
2-66-16-3
Day K.
Sasnovich A.
6-27-5
Sun L.
Inglis M.
7-56-3
Parry D.
Mandlik E.
6-26-3
Hunter S.
Kraus S.
7-646-4
Jeanjean L.
Stoiana M.
6-46-4
Kalieva E.
Starodubtseva Y.
6-36-1
Gibson T.
Brengle M.
6-07-66