Kayla Day vs Aliaksandra SasnovichIndian Wells Qualifying Round 1

Indian Wells · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#137WTA
1595ELO
1576Hard ELO
26 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWLWL
0 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026
hard
#122WTA
1726ELO
1697Hard ELO
32 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLW
Day K.
6-2 7-5
Sasnovich A.
Day K.
672
Sasnovich A.
25

Kayla Day defeated Aliaksandra Sasnovich 6-2 7-5 in the Indian Wells qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aliaksandra Sasnovich came in ranked #122.

Key context

  • Match story: Kayla Day closed it out in two sets, 6–2 7–5.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Day K.serving58% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Sasnovich A.

Sasnovich A.serving50% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Day K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Day K.Sasnovich A.
Serve
37
Return
35

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
47%
Service points won·Even
60%
58%
Return points won·Even
48%
47%
Break points saved·Even
57%
58%
Aces / match·Even
2.9
3.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
39
61
Break points saved·Clear edge
66
79
Break points won·Slight edge
88
93
Deciding sets·Dominant
18
72
Tiebreaks·Dominant
67
25

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.3Hard Elo 1576
Surface ELO
6.7+121 Hard Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1595
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 1726
0.0No prior meetings
H2H
10.0
7.2
Surface form
5.1
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
95
100

Day K.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Sasnovich A.: 16 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast