Kayla Day vs Francesca JonesIndian Wells Round of 128

Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 128
#126WTA
1595ELO
1576Hard ELO
26 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026
hard
#123WTA
1619ELO
1581Hard ELO
25 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLLLLWL
Day K.
6-3 6-1
Jones F.
Day K.
662
Jones F.
310

Kayla Day defeated Francesca Jones 6-3 6-1 in the Indian Wells round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Francesca Jones came in ranked #123.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Day K.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Jones F.

Jones F.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Day K.

Serve advantage — Day K.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Day K.Jones F.
Serve
3
Return
27

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
58%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
54%
Return points won·Even
48%
46%
Break points saved·Even
57%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.0
1.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.2
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
39
76
Break points saved·Clear edge
66
80
Break points won·Slight edge
88
96
Deciding sets·Dominant
18
70
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
67
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Hard Elo 1576
Surface ELO
5.3+5 Hard Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1595
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1619
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.2
Surface form
4.4
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.8
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
5.6
Country comfort
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
97
80

Day K.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Jones F.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 11%

Draw