Zachary Svajda vs Marin CilicIndian Wells Masters Round of 128

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 128
#66ATP
1718ELO
1690Hard ELO
$631kYTD
$1.9MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026
hard
#62ATP
1800ELO
1762Hard ELO
$776kYTD
$33MCAREER
37 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLLWL
Svajda Z.
7-6 6-4
Cilic M.
Svajda Z.
7762
Cilic M.
6540

Zachary Svajda defeated Marin Cilic 7-6 6-4 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Marin Cilic came in ranked #62, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Zachary Svajda claimed a first win over Marin Cilic in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-09-18HangzhouR32hardMarin Cilic5-7 6-3 6-0

Serve vs return

This season
Svajda Z.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Cilic M.

Cilic M.serving88% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Svajda Z.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Svajda Z.Cilic M.
30
Serve
57
12
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
80%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
50%
Service points won·Even
66%
67%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Even
65%
68%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.5
10.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.8
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
69
76
Break points saved·Slight edge
89
99
Break points won·Dominant
66
41
Deciding sets·Dominant
68
94
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
75
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.0Hard Elo 1690
Surface ELO
6.0+72 Hard Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1718
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1800
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.6
Surface form
6.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.4
Minutes 14d
Prev. match
7.0
6.7
Country comfort
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
84
98

Svajda Z.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Cilic M.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 11%