Kamilla Rakhimova vs Maria Lourdes CarleIndian Wells Qualifying Round 1

Indian Wells · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#70WTA
1693ELO
1671Hard ELO
24 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLWL
0 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026
hard
#232WTA
1484ELO
1459Hard ELO
26 yrs · 166 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLLW
Rakhimova K.
6-2 6-2
Carle M.
Rakhimova K.
662
Carle M.
22

Kamilla Rakhimova defeated Maria Lourdes Carle 6-2 6-2 in the Indian Wells qualifying round 1 on hard. The result followed the form book — Kamilla Rakhimova came in ranked #70.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Rakhimova K.serving45% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Carle M.

Carle M.serving45% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Rakhimova K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rakhimova K.Carle M.
4
Serve
42
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
57%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
39%
Service points won·Even
55%
51%
Return points won·Even
44%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
49%
Aces / match·Even
1.5
1.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
5.3
5.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
47
27
Break points saved·Dominant
67
26
Break points won·Slight edge
91
97
Deciding sets·Slight edge
62
56
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
11
5

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
3.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
7.7+212 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.3Hard Elo 1459
7.8Overall Elo 1693
ELO gap
2.2Overall Elo 1484
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.9
Surface form
4.1
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.1
Minutes 14d
8.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
91
86

Rakhimova K.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Carle M.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast