Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Martin DammIndian Wells Masters Round of 128

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 128
#59ATP
1759ELO
1642Hard ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026
hard
#106ATP
1706ELO
1657Hard ELO
$338kYTD
$910kCAREER
22 yrs · 203 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWL
Ugo Carabelli C.
7-6 6-3
Damm M.
Ugo Carabelli C.
7762
Damm M.
6530

Camilo Ugo Carabelli defeated Martin Damm 7-6 6-3 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 128 on hard. The result followed the form book — Camilo Ugo Carabelli came in ranked #59.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Ugo Carabelli C.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Damm M.

Damm M.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Ugo Carabelli C.Damm M.
0
Serve
5
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
79%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
69%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
32%
Break points saved·Even
59%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.5
12.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.3
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
78
26
Break points saved·Even
90
93
Break points won·Dominant
62
1
Deciding sets·Dominant
96
5
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
72
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 23 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
4.9Hard Elo 1642
Surface ELO
5.1+15 Hard Elo edge
5.9Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1706
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
1.9
Surface form
6.3
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Minutes 14d
8.0
Prev. match
Country comfort
6.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
97
89

Ugo Carabelli C.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Damm M.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 11%