Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katie BoulterIndian Wells Qualifying Round 2

Indian Wells · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#110WTA
1599ELO
1579Hard ELO
20 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026
hard
#60WTA
1831ELO
1795Hard ELO
29 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWLW
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
2-6 7-5 6-2
Boulter K.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
2762
Boulter K.
6521

Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva defeated Katie Boulter 2-6 7-5 6-2 in the Indian Wells qualifying round 2 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Katie Boulter came in ranked #60.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Jimenez Kasintseva V.serving42% hold

wins 47% of points on serve vs Boulter K.

Boulter K.serving65% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Jimenez Kasintseva V.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Jimenez Kasintseva V.Boulter K.
0
Serve
21
55
Return
67

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
56%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
52%
59%
Return points won·Even
43%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.6
2.7
Double faults / match·Even
4.6
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
52
87
Break points saved·Even
82
86
Break points won·Slight edge
88
93
Deciding sets·Dominant
26
94
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
80
88

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
2.3Hard Elo 1579
Surface ELO
7.7+216 Hard Elo edge
2.1Overall Elo 1599
ELO gap
7.9Overall Elo 1831
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.6
Surface form
7.5
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.6
Minutes 14d
7.3
4.0
3-set count
7.0
4.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
98
98

Jimenez Kasintseva V.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Boulter K.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast