Himeno Sakatsume vs Nikola BartunkovaIndian Wells Qualifying Round 2

Indian Wells · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#121WTA
1611ELO
1599Hard ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLLLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026
hard
#43WTA
1788ELO
1719Hard ELO
$507kYTD
$713kCAREER
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLLWW
Sakatsume H.
7-5 1-6 6-3
Bartunkova N.
Sakatsume H.
7162
Bartunkova N.
5631

Himeno Sakatsume defeated Nikola Bartunkova 7-5 1-6 6-3 in the Indian Wells qualifying round 2 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Nikola Bartunkova came in ranked #43.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Sakatsume H.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Bartunkova N.

Bartunkova N.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Sakatsume H.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
49%
Service points won·Even
58%
61%
Return points won·Even
43%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.4
4.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.8
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
62
72
Break points saved·Clear edge
64
76
Break points won·Slight edge
97
90
Deciding sets·Clear edge
62
75
Tiebreaks·

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1599
Surface ELO
5.6+121 Hard Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1611
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1788
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
6.9
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.2
7.0
3-set count
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
96

Sakatsume H.: 21 days rest · Bartunkova N.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast