Michelle Kelly Tikhonko vs Ximena SentiesW15 Huamantla Round of 32

W15 Huamantla · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#1521WTA
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 2 March 2026
hard
#1388WTA
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLLLWL
Tikhonko M.
5-7 7-6 7-6
Senties X.
Tikhonko M.
577772
Senties X.
762621

Michelle Kelly Tikhonko defeated Ximena Senties 5-7 7-6 7-6 in the W15 Huamantla round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Ximena Senties came in ranked #1388, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Tikhonko M.serving56% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Senties X.

Senties X.serving63% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Tikhonko M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
50%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
40%
36%
Service points won·Slight edge
46%
51%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
50%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.5
1.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (2 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 98 days (−1.5)
3.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 147 days (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
Surface form
0.9
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 6
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast