Stefano Napolitano vs Luka Pavlovic — Kigali 1 CH Quarter-final

Kigali 1 CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
Stefano Napolitano
ITA
Stefano Napolitano
#242ATP
1528ELO
1520Clay ELO
31 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 2 March 2026
clay
FRA8
Luka Pavlovic
#217ATP
1510ELO
1467Clay ELO
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLLLL
Napolitano S.
6-4 6-3
Pavlovic L.
Napolitano S.
662
Pavlovic L.
430

Stefano Napolitano defeated Luka Pavlovic 6-4 6-3 in the Kigali 1 CH quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Luka Pavlovic came in ranked #217, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Napolitano S.serving88% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Pavlovic L.

Pavlovic L.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Napolitano S.

Serve advantage — Napolitano S.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Napolitano S.Pavlovic L.
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
53%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
77%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
57%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
62%
Return points won·Even
37%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.5
10.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.7
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Napolitano S.Pavlovic L.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
33
60
Break points saved·Clear edge
77
93
Break points won·Slight edge
13
24
Deciding sets·Clear edge
55
71
Tiebreaks·Dominant
26
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Napolitano S.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Pavlovic L.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.1+53 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Clay Elo 1467
5.8Overall Elo 1528
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1510
0.0No prior meetings
H2H
10.0
7.1
Surface form
3.6
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Napolitano S.Pavlovic L.
Freshness·Dominant
100
69

Napolitano S.: 19 days rest · Pavlovic L.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Schwaerzler J.
Napolitano S.
7-657-66
Semi-finals
Napolitano S.
Gea A.[2]
7-635-76-3
Schwaerzler J.
Cecchinato M.
6-27-68
Quarter-finals
Schwaerzler J.
Trungelliti M.[1]
7-636-737-67
Napolitano S.
Pavlovic L.[8]
6-46-3
Gea A.[2]
Hemery C.
6-36-4
Cecchinato M.
Kym J.[5]
6-763-3
R16
Trungelliti M.[1]
Bax F.
6-36-4
Cecchinato M.
Kopp S.
6-786-47-64
Kym J.[5]
De Krom M.
6-46-2
Napolitano S.
Mikrut L.[3]
1-67-653-2
Hemery C.
Nijboer R.
6-46-4
Schwaerzler J.
Kolar Z.[7]
4-67-627-66
Pavlovic L.[8]
Coulibaly E.
6-26-4
Gea A.[2]
Jianu F.
7-626-4
R32
Schwaerzler J.
Erhard M.
7-657-61
Trungelliti M.[1]
Johns G.
6-44-66-4
Kopp S.
Carballes Baena R.[4]
6-36-2
Kym J.[5]
Pieri S.
6-736-46-4
Pavlovic L.[8]
Martin Tiffon P.
6-16-4
Napolitano S.
Denolly C.
6-36-4
Hemery C.
Clarke J.[6]
7-653-67-615
Nijboer R.
Houkes M.
6-36-3
Jianu F.
Martin A.
6-26-2
Bax F.
Pennaforti G.
6-36-4
Kolar Z.[7]
Cuenin S.
7-626-3
Cecchinato M.
Ouakaa A.
7-56-1
De Krom M.
Ionel N.
5-76-36-3
Coulibaly E.
Bouchelaghem C.
6-36-2
Gea A.[2]
Dalla Valle E.
6-37-64
Mikrut L.[3]
Forejtek J.
6-37-65