Yelyzaveta Kotliar vs Lucie Nguyen TanW15 Hagetmau Round of 32

W15 Hagetmau · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#451WTA
1244ELO
1237Hard ELO
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 2 March 2026
hard
#426WTA
1460ELO
1321Hard ELO
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWWLW
Kotliar Y.
6-3 2-6 6-4
Nguyen Tan L.
Kotliar Y.
6262
Nguyen Tan L.
3641

Yelyzaveta Kotliar defeated Lucie Nguyen Tan 6-3 2-6 6-4 in the W15 Hagetmau round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Lucie Nguyen Tan came in ranked #426, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Kotliar Y.serving44% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Nguyen Tan L.

Nguyen Tan L.serving38% hold

wins 45% of points on serve vs Kotliar Y.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
59%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
47%
Service points won·Even
53%
55%
Return points won·Slight edge
51%
46%
Break points saved·Even
51%
50%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.0
1.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.6
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.8
Surface form
3.2
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
65
94

Kotliar Y.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 69 games (7d) · Nguyen Tan L.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 14 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast