Sebastian Ofner vs Nicolai Budkov KjaerThionville CH Final

Thionville CH · CHALLENGER · Final
#110ATP
1713ELO
1655Hard ELO
$345kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 2 March 2026
hard
#121ATP
1620ELO
1598Hard ELO
$293kYTD
$747kCAREER
19 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLLWL
Ofner S.
6-7 6-3 7-6
Budkov Kjaer N.
Ofner S.
656792
Budkov Kjaer N.
773671

Sebastian Ofner defeated Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 6-7 6-3 7-6 in the Thionville CH final on hard. The result followed the form book — Sebastian Ofner came in ranked #110.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Ofner S.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Budkov Kjaer N.

Budkov Kjaer N.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Ofner S.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
66%
62%
Return points won·Even
37%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.5
3.7
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
70
67
Break points saved·Clear edge
93
78
Break points won·Even
43
39
Deciding sets·Clear edge
82
96
Tiebreaks·Even
84
81

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.2+57 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Hard Elo 1598
5.2Overall Elo 1713
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1620
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.3
Surface form
4.5
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Minutes 14d
7.1
0.0
3-set count
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
73
100

Ofner S.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 48 games (7d) · Budkov Kjaer N.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast