Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Kei Nishikori — Thionville CH Round of 16

Thionville CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
NOR6
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
#121ATP
1620ELO
1598Hard ELO
$293kYTD
$747kCAREER
19 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 2 March 2026
hard
JPN
Kei Nishikori
#720ATP
1714ELO
1680Hard ELO
36 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWLL
Budkov Kjaer N.
3-6 6-4 6-2
Nishikori K.
Budkov Kjaer N.
3662
Nishikori K.
6421

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer defeated Kei Nishikori 3-6 6-4 6-2 in the Thionville CH round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Nicolai Budkov Kjaer came in ranked #121, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Budkov Kjaer N.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Nishikori K.

Nishikori K.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Budkov Kjaer N.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Budkov Kjaer N.Nishikori K.
1st serve in·Even
64%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
53%
Service points won·Even
62%
63%
Return points won·Even
38%
39%
Break points saved·Clear edge
61%
47%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.6
2.2
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 9). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Budkov Kjaer N.Nishikori K.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
67
88
Break points saved·Clear edge
78
97
Break points won·Dominant
39
74
Deciding sets·Even
96
100
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
81
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Budkov Kjaer N.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Nishikori K.
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 56 days (−1.0)
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1598
Surface ELO
5.6+82 Hard Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1620
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1714
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.5
Surface form
4.4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.1
Minutes 14d
7.0
Prev. match
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Budkov Kjaer N.Nishikori K.
Freshness·
100
—

Budkov Kjaer N.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Ofner S.[4]
Budkov Kjaer N.[6]
6-756-37-67
Semi-finals
Ofner S.[4]
Gaston H.[1]
6-46-2
Budkov Kjaer N.[6]
Virtanen O.[3]
4-66-27-63
Quarter-finals
Gaston H.[1]
Kouame M.
3-66-36-4
Ofner S.[4]
Rodionov J.
6-23-66-3
Budkov Kjaer N.[6]
Choinski J.[2]
6-47-65
Virtanen O.[3]
Blanchet U.[8]
7-57-63
R16
Kouame M.
Zeppieri G.[5]
6-11-0
Gaston H.[1]
Smith K.
3-66-36-2
Ofner S.[4]
Cassone M.
7-56-2
Choinski J.[2]
Safiullin R.
4-67-57-5
Rodionov J.
Krumich M.
6-36-2
Blanchet U.[8]
Chidekh C.
6-26-2
Virtanen O.[3]
Herbert P.
7-56-4
Budkov Kjaer N.[6]
Nishikori K.
3-66-46-2
R32
Rodionov J.
Grenier H.
6-31-0
Cassone M.
Broom C.
6-46-3
Blanchet U.[8]
Watanuki Y.
6-756-23-0
Gaston H.[1]
Glinka D.
6-34-2
Smith K.
Holmgren A.
6-33-66-3
Kouame M.
Sels J.
6-36-0
Zeppieri G.[5]
Engel J.
4-67-56-1
Ofner S.[4]
Loffhagen G.
4-67-57-65
Chidekh C.
Bertola R.
6-37-63
Virtanen O.[3]
Paris T.
6-41-67-62
Safiullin R.
Skatov T.
7-636-3
Krumich M.
Added D.
6-46-2
Herbert P.
Bailly G.
6-36-736-3
Budkov Kjaer N.[6]
Molcan A.
6-16-2
Nishikori K.
Tabur C.
7-54-66-2
Choinski J.[2]
Malige M.
7-636-1