Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Alex Molcan — Thionville CH Round of 32

Thionville CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
NOR6
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
#121ATP
1620ELO
1598Hard ELO
$293kYTD
$747kCAREER
19 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 2 March 2026
hard
Alex Molcan
SVK
Alex Molcan
#101ATP
1742ELO
1653Hard ELO
$295kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
28 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
Budkov Kjaer N.
6-1 6-2
Molcan A.
Budkov Kjaer N.
662
Molcan A.
120

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer defeated Alex Molcan 6-1 6-2 in the Thionville CH round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alex Molcan came in ranked #101.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Budkov Kjaer N.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Molcan A.

Molcan A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Budkov Kjaer N.

Serve advantage — Molcan A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Budkov Kjaer N.Molcan A.
1st serve in·Even
64%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
63%
Return points won·Even
38%
42%
Break points saved·Even
60%
64%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.9
3.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.5
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Budkov Kjaer N.Molcan A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
67
79
Break points saved·Clear edge
78
90
Break points won·Clear edge
39
61
Deciding sets·Slight edge
96
91
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
81
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Budkov Kjaer N.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Molcan A.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 23 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
4.8Hard Elo 1598
Surface ELO
5.2+55 Hard Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1620
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1742
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.5
Surface form
4.3
Fatigue & Travel
7.1
Minutes 14d
7.0
Prev. match
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Budkov Kjaer N.Molcan A.
Freshness·Slight edge
100
89

Budkov Kjaer N.: 16 days rest · Molcan A.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Ofner S.[4]
Budkov Kjaer N.[6]
6-756-37-67
Semi-finals
Ofner S.[4]
Gaston H.[1]
6-46-2
Budkov Kjaer N.[6]
Virtanen O.[3]
4-66-27-63
Quarter-finals
Gaston H.[1]
Kouame M.
3-66-36-4
Ofner S.[4]
Rodionov J.
6-23-66-3
Budkov Kjaer N.[6]
Choinski J.[2]
6-47-65
Virtanen O.[3]
Blanchet U.[8]
7-57-63
R16
Kouame M.
Zeppieri G.[5]
6-11-0
Gaston H.[1]
Smith K.
3-66-36-2
Ofner S.[4]
Cassone M.
7-56-2
Choinski J.[2]
Safiullin R.
4-67-57-5
Rodionov J.
Krumich M.
6-36-2
Blanchet U.[8]
Chidekh C.
6-26-2
Virtanen O.[3]
Herbert P.
7-56-4
Budkov Kjaer N.[6]
Nishikori K.
3-66-46-2
R32
Rodionov J.
Grenier H.
6-31-0
Cassone M.
Broom C.
6-46-3
Blanchet U.[8]
Watanuki Y.
6-756-23-0
Gaston H.[1]
Glinka D.
6-34-2
Smith K.
Holmgren A.
6-33-66-3
Kouame M.
Sels J.
6-36-0
Zeppieri G.[5]
Engel J.
4-67-56-1
Ofner S.[4]
Loffhagen G.
4-67-57-65
Chidekh C.
Bertola R.
6-37-63
Virtanen O.[3]
Paris T.
6-41-67-62
Safiullin R.
Skatov T.
7-636-3
Krumich M.
Added D.
6-46-2
Herbert P.
Bailly G.
6-36-736-3
Budkov Kjaer N.[6]
Molcan A.
6-16-2
Nishikori K.
Tabur C.
7-54-66-2
Choinski J.[2]
Malige M.
7-636-1