Hugo Gaston vs Keegan Smith — Thionville CH Round of 16

Thionville CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
Hugo Gaston
FRA1
Hugo Gaston
#118ATP
1622ELO
1628Hard ELO
$355kYTD
$4.0MCAREER
25 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 2 March 2026
hard
USA
Keegan Smith
#247ATP
1421ELO
1395Hard ELO
28 yrs · 201 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWLL
Gaston H.
3-6 6-3 6-2
Smith K.
Gaston H.
3662
Smith K.
6321

Hugo Gaston defeated Keegan Smith 3-6 6-3 6-2 in the Thionville CH round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Hugo Gaston came in ranked #118.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Gaston H.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Smith K.

Smith K.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Gaston H.

Serve advantage — Smith K.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Gaston H.Smith K.
1st serve in·Clear edge
53%
75%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
55%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
68%
Return points won·Even
39%
35%
Break points saved·Clear edge
55%
70%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.4
6.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.2
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Gaston H.Smith K.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
73
26
Break points saved·Slight edge
91
84
Break points won·Dominant
57
3
Deciding sets·Dominant
78
48
Tiebreaks·Dominant
92
10

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Gaston H.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Smith K.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.0+234 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.0Hard Elo 1395
8.8Overall Elo 1622
ELO gap
1.2Overall Elo 1421
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.6
Surface form
5.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.3
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Gaston H.Smith K.
Freshness·Slight edge
64
74

Gaston H.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 65 games (7d) · Smith K.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 57 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Ofner S.[4]
Budkov Kjaer N.[6]
6-756-37-67
Semi-finals
Ofner S.[4]
Gaston H.[1]
6-46-2
Budkov Kjaer N.[6]
Virtanen O.[3]
4-66-27-63
Quarter-finals
Gaston H.[1]
Kouame M.
3-66-36-4
Ofner S.[4]
Rodionov J.
6-23-66-3
Budkov Kjaer N.[6]
Choinski J.[2]
6-47-65
Virtanen O.[3]
Blanchet U.[8]
7-57-63
R16
Kouame M.
Zeppieri G.[5]
6-11-0
Gaston H.[1]
Smith K.
3-66-36-2
Ofner S.[4]
Cassone M.
7-56-2
Choinski J.[2]
Safiullin R.
4-67-57-5
Rodionov J.
Krumich M.
6-36-2
Blanchet U.[8]
Chidekh C.
6-26-2
Virtanen O.[3]
Herbert P.
7-56-4
Budkov Kjaer N.[6]
Nishikori K.
3-66-46-2
R32
Rodionov J.
Grenier H.
6-31-0
Cassone M.
Broom C.
6-46-3
Blanchet U.[8]
Watanuki Y.
6-756-23-0
Gaston H.[1]
Glinka D.
6-34-2
Smith K.
Holmgren A.
6-33-66-3
Kouame M.
Sels J.
6-36-0
Zeppieri G.[5]
Engel J.
4-67-56-1
Ofner S.[4]
Loffhagen G.
4-67-57-65
Chidekh C.
Bertola R.
6-37-63
Virtanen O.[3]
Paris T.
6-41-67-62
Safiullin R.
Skatov T.
7-636-3
Krumich M.
Added D.
6-46-2
Herbert P.
Bailly G.
6-36-736-3
Budkov Kjaer N.[6]
Molcan A.
6-16-2
Nishikori K.
Tabur C.
7-54-66-2
Choinski J.[2]
Malige M.
7-636-1