Lorenzo Carboni vs Luca Potenza — Hersonissos 1 CH Qualifying Round 2

Hersonissos 1 CH · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
ITA9
Lorenzo Carboni
#471ATP
1161ELO
1123Hard ELO
20 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 2 March 2026
hard
Luca Potenza
ITA6
Luca Potenza
#451ATP
1342ELO
1317Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLLWW
Carboni L.
6-2 7-6
Potenza L.
Carboni L.
6772
Potenza L.
2610

Lorenzo Carboni defeated Luca Potenza 6-2 7-6 in the Hersonissos 1 CH qualifying round 2 on hard.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Carboni L.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Potenza L.

Potenza L.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Carboni L.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Carboni L.Potenza L.
1st serve in·Even
61%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
49%
Service points won·Even
57%
57%
Return points won·Even
39%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
51%
57%
Aces / match·Even
1.9
2.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.2
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 9). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Carboni L.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Potenza L.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.5Hard Elo 1123
Surface ELO
7.5+194 Hard Elo edge
2.5Overall Elo 1161
ELO gap
7.5Overall Elo 1342
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
2.4
Surface form
4.3
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Minutes 14d
8.9
4.0
3-set count
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Carboni L.Potenza L.
Freshness·
—
87

Potenza L.: 8 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Q2
Maxted L.[10]
Dostanic S.[1]
7-53-67-63
Barranco Cosano J.[4]
Nesterov P.
6-36-2
Carboni L.[9]
Potenza L.[6]
6-27-61
Soriano Barrera A.[2]
Gulin S.[8]
6-36-1
Fellin P.[11]
Piraino G.[3]
6-36-4
Gadamauri B.[5]
Loge J.[12]
7-626-2
Q1
Dostanic S.[1]
Tsitsipas P.
7-56-1
Maxted L.[10]
Story J.
6-26-4
Gulin S.[8]
Bittoun Kouzmine C.
7-56-1
Piraino G.[3]
Azoides D.
6-16-3
Fellin P.[11]
Ovcharenko O.
5-76-36-3
Nesterov P.
Langmo C.[7]
3-66-46-2
Gadamauri B.[5]
Mansilla Diez M.
6-17-5
Loge J.[12]
Sakellaridis M.
6-26-1
Potenza L.[6]
Jermar J.
6-36-4
Barranco Cosano J.[4]
Makk P.
3-66-47-5
Soriano Barrera A.[2]
Bernet H.
6-16-4