Pierre Hugues Herbert vs Gilles Arnaud BaillyThionville CH Round of 32

Thionville CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#251ATP
1607ELO
1577Hard ELO
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 2 March 2026
hard
#210ATP
1476ELO
1457Hard ELO
20 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLLLL
Herbert P.
6-3 6-7 6-3
Bailly G.
Herbert P.
66362
Bailly G.
37731

Pierre Hugues Herbert defeated Gilles Arnaud Bailly 6-3 6-7 6-3 in the Thionville CH round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Gilles Arnaud Bailly came in ranked #210, leading the head-to-head 1–0, but Pierre Hugues Herbert had arrived on a 3-match winning run. Pierre Hugues Herbert claimed a first win over Gilles Arnaud Bailly in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-10-14AntwerpQ1hardGilles Arnaud Bailly7-6(7) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Herbert P.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Bailly G.

Bailly G.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Herbert P.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
50%
Service points won·Even
63%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
68%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.6
1.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.9
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
6.2+119 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Hard Elo 1457
6.1Overall Elo 1607
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1476
0.0
H2H
10.0
8.0
Surface form
4.3
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.3
Minutes 14d
0.0
3-set count
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
70

Herbert P.: 19 days rest · Bailly G.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 62 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast