Andrey Rublev vs Arthur RinderknechDubai Quarter-final

Dubai · ATP · Quarter-final
#13ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 23 February 2026
hard
#28ATP
1780ELO
1748Hard ELO
$855kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWLWW
Rublev A.
6-2 6-4
Rinderknech A.
Rublev A.
662
Rinderknech A.
240

Andrey Rublev defeated Arthur Rinderknech 6-2 6-4 in the Dubai quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #13, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's round of 32. Andrey Rublev extended the head-to-head to 4–0.

Key context

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-26US OpenR64hardAndrey Rublev4-6 5-7 6-1 6-2 6-2
2024-07-29WashingtonR16hardAndrey Rublev7-6(4) 6-4
2023-08-28US OpenR32hardAndrey Rublev3-6 6-3 6-1 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Rublev A.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Rinderknech A.

Rinderknech A.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rublev A.Rinderknech A.
55
Serve
50
52
Return
1

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
67%
Return points won·Slight edge
38%
31%
Break points saved·Even
68%
72%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.3
10.4
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
89
58
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
72
6
Deciding sets·Slight edge
97
91
Tiebreaks·Dominant
92
57

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.9+101 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Hard Elo 1748
5.9Overall Elo 1902
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1780
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.3
Surface form
3.2
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.4
Minutes 14d
8.1
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.4
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
93
80

Rublev A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Rinderknech A.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 53%