Keegan Smith vs Jakub Paul — St. Brieuc CH Qualifying Round 2

St. Brieuc CH · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
USA
Keegan Smith
#247ATP
1421ELO
1395Hard ELO
28 yrs · 201 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWLL
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 23 February 2026
hard
SUI
Jakub Paul
#527ATP
1389ELO
1340Hard ELO
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLLWW
Smith K.
6-3 7-5
Paul J.
Smith K.
672
Paul J.
35–

Keegan Smith defeated Jakub Paul 6-3 7-5 in the St. Brieuc CH qualifying round 2 on hard.

Key context

  • Match story: Keegan Smith closed it out in two sets, 6–3 7–5.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Smith K.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Paul J.

Paul J.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Smith K.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Smith K.Paul J.
1st serve in·Clear edge
75%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
60%
Return points won·Even
35%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
68%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.9
2.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.9
0.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 9). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Smith K.Paul J.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
26
21
Break points saved·Clear edge
84
62
Break points won·Clear edge
3
20
Deciding sets·Dominant
48
5
Tiebreaks·Dominant
10
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Smith K.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Paul J.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8+55 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.2Hard Elo 1340
4.6Overall Elo 1421
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1389
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.2
Surface form
3.9
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
9.3
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Smith K.Paul J.
Freshness·
78
—

Smith K.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 36 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Q2
Lokoli L.
Henning P.
6-26-4
Poullain L.
Catry R.
6-36-3
Gadamauri B.
Janvier M.
6-33-67-65
Ghibaudo A.
Trufelli T.
6-46-4
Broska F.
Bittoun Kouzmine C.
6-46-4
Smith K.
Paul J.
6-37-5
Q1
Henning P.
Barrere V.
6-26-2
Lokoli L.
Vrbensky M.
6-726-36-0
Poullain L.
Nagel A.
7-56-2
Ghibaudo A.
Massard L.
1-67-56-3
Trufelli T.
Vasa E.
6-33-66-3
Bittoun Kouzmine C.
Vandermeersch C.
6-06-2
Smith K.
Rehberg M.
4-67-647-5
Paul J.
Jade D.
7-647-5
Catry R.
Paris T.
6-36-4
Janvier M.
Trotter J.
6-47-66
Gadamauri B.
Reymond A.
6-43-66-3
Broska F.
Gobat A.
6-37-63