Alex Rybakov vs Johan Nikles — Lugano CH Qualifying Round 1

Lugano CH · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
Alex Rybakov
USA2
Alex Rybakov
#432ATP
1352ELO
1310Hard ELO
29 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 23 February 2026
hard
Johan Nikles
SUI
Johan Nikles
#425ATP
1319ELO
1273Hard ELO
29 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWLW
Rybakov A.
3-6 6-4 6-2
Nikles J.
Rybakov A.
3662
Nikles J.
6421

Alex Rybakov defeated Johan Nikles 3-6 6-4 6-2 in the Lugano CH qualifying round 1 on hard.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Rybakov A.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Nikles J.

Nikles J.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Rybakov A.

Serve advantage — Nikles J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Rybakov A.Nikles J.
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
49%
Service points won·Even
60%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
46%
Break points saved·Even
55%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.4
1.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.1
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Rybakov A.Nikles J.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
15
7
Break points saved·Dominant
84
22
Break points won·Dominant
5
30
Deciding sets·Slight edge
19
28
Tiebreaks·
5
—

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Rybakov A.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Nikles J.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.5+37 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Hard Elo 1273
5.4Overall Elo 1352
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1319
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
0.6
Surface form
6.5
0.0Lost last 9
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.3
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Rybakov A.Nikles J.
Freshness·
72
—

Rybakov A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 51 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Q2
Knaff A.
Forti F.
6-26-4
Brunclik P.[1]
Oradini G.
6-47-61
Dietrich D.
Rybakov A.[2]
7-56-4
Piraino G.[3]
Nesterov P.[11]
3-66-37-63
Forejtek J.[4]
Thomas F.
7-676-3
Basic M.[12]
Visker N.
6-47-63
Q1
Brunclik P.[1]
Parizzia N.
7-636-4
Dietrich D.
Potenza L.[7]
7-656-4
Piraino G.[3]
Ovcharenko O.
3-66-26-3
Basic M.[12]
Von Der Schulenburg J.
7-634-66-4
Knaff A.
Arnaboldi F.[6]
7-56-4
Oradini G.
Kuhar M.
6-22-66-4
Rybakov A.[2]
Nikles J.
3-66-46-2
Nesterov P.[11]
Iannaccone F.
3-66-27-5
Forejtek J.[4]
Romano F.
6-46-1
Thomas F.
Molleker R.[8]
6-11-66-4
Visker N.
Alkaya M.[5]
6-43-67-64
Forti F.
Bondioli F.[9]
3-67-6107-5