Brandon Nakashima vs Valentin VacherotAcapulco Quarter-final

Acapulco · ATP · Quarter-final
#31ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 23 February 2026
hard
#20ATP
1903ELO
1852Hard ELO
$1.0MYTD
$3.5MCAREER
27 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWWWLWW
Nakashima B.
2-6 6-2 6-3
Vacherot V.
Nakashima B.
2662
Vacherot V.
6231

Brandon Nakashima defeated Valentin Vacherot 2-6 6-2 6-3 in the Acapulco quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Valentin Vacherot came in ranked #20.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Nakashima B.serving93% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Vacherot V.

Vacherot V.serving93% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Nakashima B.Vacherot V.
61
Serve
67
23
Return
23

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
69%
68%
Return points won·Even
34%
35%
Break points saved·Clear edge
57%
70%
Aces / match·Even
9.6
10.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
0.7
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
56
69
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Clear edge
13
33
Deciding sets·Dominant
64
95
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
89
65

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.0Hard Elo 1788
Surface ELO
6.0+65 Hard Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1839
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1903
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.5
Surface form
6.3
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.4
Minutes 14d
9.1
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
8.5
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
84

Nakashima B.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 47%