Jakub Mensik vs Alexei PopyrinDubai Round of 16

Dubai · ATP · Round of 16
#18ATP
1931ELO
1893Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$6.9MCAREER
20 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 23 February 2026
hard
#103ATP
1741ELO
1681Hard ELO
$563kYTD
$9.7MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLWL
Mensik J.
6-3 6-2
Popyrin A.
Mensik J.
662
Popyrin A.
320

Jakub Mensik defeated Alexei Popyrin 6-3 6-2 in the Dubai round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jakub Mensik came in ranked #18, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Jakub Mensik extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-09Rome MastersR64clayAlexei Popyrin6-3 2-6 6-4
2024-10-21ViennaR32hardJakub Mensik7-6(3) 6-2
2024-07-22UmagR32clayJakub Mensik6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Mensik J.serving94% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Popyrin A.

Popyrin A.serving92% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Mensik J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mensik J.Popyrin A.
42
Serve
40
51
Return
11

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
79%
78%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
55%
Service points won·Even
67%
69%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
31%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
58%
Aces / match·Even
12.2
11.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.0
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
88
59
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Dominant
77
6
Deciding sets·Clear edge
92
75
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.2
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.8+212 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.2Hard Elo 1681
7.6Overall Elo 1931
ELO gap
2.4Overall Elo 1741
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.6
Surface form
1.5
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.7
Minutes 14d
7.7
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
86
97

Mensik J.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Popyrin A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 53%