Elias Ymer vs Mackenzie McdonaldAcapulco Qualifying Round 1

Acapulco · ATP · Qualifying Round 1
#188ATP
1548ELO
1527Hard ELO
$191kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 23 February 2026
hard
#145ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$240kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
Ymer E.
7-6 4-6 6-4
Mcdonald M.
Ymer E.
79462
Mcdonald M.
67641

Elias Ymer defeated Mackenzie Mcdonald 7-6 4-6 6-4 in the Acapulco qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Mackenzie Mcdonald came in ranked #145, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Elias Ymer claimed a first win over Mackenzie Mcdonald in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2018-01-15Australian OpenR128hardMackenzie Mcdonald6-4 6-3 4-6 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Ymer E.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Mcdonald M.

Mcdonald M.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Ymer E.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Ymer E.Mcdonald M.
Serve
25
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
55%
Service points won·Even
64%
61%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Even
63%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.0
3.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.1
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
48
56
Break points saved·Clear edge
83
96
Break points won·Dominant
23
66
Deciding sets·Dominant
78
45
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
35
44

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Hard Elo 1527
Surface ELO
6.1+77 Hard Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1548
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1606
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.5
Surface form
5.5
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.9
Minutes 14d
9.1
4.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
100
89

Ymer E.: 18 days rest · Mcdonald M.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 47%