Sho Shimabukuro vs Adrian Mannarino — Acapulco Round of 32

Acapulco · ATP · Round of 32
Sho Shimabukuro
JPN
Sho Shimabukuro
#90ATP
1672ELO
1606Hard ELO
$268kYTD
$1.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 23 February 2026
hard
Adrian Mannarino
FRA
Adrian Mannarino
#40ATP
1673ELO
1647Hard ELO
$633kYTD
$15MCAREER
38 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLWW
Shimabukuro S.
6-3 6-4
Mannarino A.
Shimabukuro S.
662
Mannarino A.
340

Sho Shimabukuro defeated Adrian Mannarino 6-3 6-4 in the Acapulco round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Adrian Mannarino came in ranked #40.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Shimabukuro S.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Mannarino A.

Mannarino A.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Shimabukuro S.

Serve advantage — Shimabukuro S.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Shimabukuro S.Mannarino A.
—
Serve
37
—
Return
32

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Shimabukuro S.Mannarino A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
48%
Service points won·Even
64%
61%
Return points won·Even
37%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.5
5.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Shimabukuro S.Mannarino A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
42
65
Break points saved·Slight edge
88
96
Break points won·Dominant
31
66
Deciding sets·Clear edge
50
72
Tiebreaks·Even
38
38

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Shimabukuro S.
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Mannarino A.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.2Hard Elo 1606
Surface ELO
5.8+41 Hard Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1672
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1673
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
8.2
Surface form
5.5
Fatigue & Travel
5.0
Minutes 14d
7.6
7.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Shimabukuro S.Mannarino A.
Freshness·Clear edge
93
69

Shimabukuro S.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Mannarino A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 47%
Final
Cobolli F.[5]
Tiafoe F.[8]
7-646-4
Semi-finals
Tiafoe F.[8]
Nakashima B.
3-67-666-4
Cobolli F.[5]
Kecmanovic M.
7-653-66-4
Quarter-finals
Kecmanovic M.
Atmane T.
6-36-3
Cobolli F.[5]
Wu Y.
7-646-1
Nakashima B.
Vacherot V.[6]
2-66-26-3
Tiafoe F.[8]
Bellucci M.
6-36-4
R16
Wu Y.
Shimabukuro S.
6-37-64
Bellucci M.
Davidovich Fokina A.[4]
6-36-3
Cobolli F.[5]
Svrcina D.
6-46-4
Vacherot V.[6]
Monfils G.
6-36-3
Tiafoe F.[8]
Kovacevic A.
6-43-67-67
Atmane T.
Jodar R.
6-24-66-1
Kecmanovic M.
Zverev A.[1]
6-36-737-64
Nakashima B.
Kypson P.
6-46-4
R32
Kovacevic A.
Walton A.
7-617-63
Cobolli F.[5]
Pacheco Mendez R.
7-637-63
Wu Y.
Ruud C.[3]
7-627-61
Davidovich Fokina A.[4]
Altmaier D.
7-56-3
Kypson P.
De Minaur A.[2]
6-16-747-64
Jodar R.
Norrie C.[7]
6-36-2
Kecmanovic M.
Schoolkate T.
6-26-2
Atmane T.
Dimitrov G.
6-36-3
Svrcina D.
Duckworth J.
6-46-1
Vacherot V.[6]
Wong C.
4-66-36-2
Zverev A.[1]
Moutet C.
6-26-4
Nakashima B.
Ymer E.
6-36-4
Monfils G.
Dzumhur D.
6-47-65
Bellucci M.
Hijikata R.
7-656-3
Tiafoe F.[8]
Borges N.
6-46-4
Shimabukuro S.
Mannarino A.
6-36-4