Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Heather WatsonMerida Round of 32

Merida · WTA · Round of 32
#62WTA
1721ELO
1664Hard ELO
$391kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 23 February 2026
hard
#470WTA
1572ELO
1548Hard ELO
34 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLLLW
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-3 6-1
Watson H.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
662
Watson H.
310

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro defeated Heather Watson 6-3 6-1 in the Merida round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jessica Bouzas Maneiro came in ranked #62, defending last year's round of 16.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Bouzas Maneiro J.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Watson H.

Watson H.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Bouzas Maneiro J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bouzas Maneiro J.Watson H.
15
Serve
63
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
58%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
58%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
42%
Service points won·Slight edge
53%
58%
Return points won·Even
46%
42%
Break points saved·Even
52%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.7
3.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.1
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 11). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
53
20
Break points saved·Slight edge
53
43
Break points won·Dominant
95
62
Deciding sets·Dominant
86
50
Tiebreaks·Even
9
13

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
3.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 182 days (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
6.4+116 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Hard Elo 1548
6.6Overall Elo 1721
ELO gap
3.4Overall Elo 1572
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
1.6
Surface form
4.2
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
93
100

Bouzas Maneiro J.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Watson H.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
23°CMainly clear
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 49%