Alexei Popyrin vs Kamil MajchrzakDubai Round of 32

Dubai · ATP · Round of 32
#103ATP
1741ELO
1681Hard ELO
$563kYTD
$9.7MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 23 February 2026
hard
#45ATP
1801ELO
1739Hard ELO
$617kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
30 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWLW
Popyrin A.
3-6 6-3 7-5
Majchrzak K.
Popyrin A.
3672
Majchrzak K.
6351

Alexei Popyrin defeated Kamil Majchrzak 3-6 6-3 7-5 in the Dubai round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Kamil Majchrzak came in ranked #45, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Alexei Popyrin claimed a first win over Kamil Majchrzak in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-05-10Rome MastersQ1clayKamil Majchrzak7-6(6) 6-7(4) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Popyrin A.serving91% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Majchrzak K.

Majchrzak K.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Popyrin A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Popyrin A.Majchrzak K.
40
Serve
24
11
Return
48

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
50%
Service points won·Even
68%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
30%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
11.3
6.8
Double faults / match·Even
1.5
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
59
68
Break points saved·Even
99
97
Break points won·Dominant
6
51
Deciding sets·Even
75
73
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
93
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1681
Surface ELO
5.6+59 Hard Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1741
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1801
5.0
H2H
5.0
1.5
Surface form
4.7
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.7
Minutes 14d
8.7
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
97
86

Popyrin A.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Majchrzak K.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 53%