Shuai Zhang vs Varvara LepchenkoMerida Round of 32

Merida · WTA · Round of 32
#54WTA
1718ELO
1695Hard ELO
37 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 23 February 2026
hard
#172WTA
1578ELO
1559Hard ELO
40 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLLWL
Zhang S.
6-2 6-1
Lepchenko V.
Zhang S.
662
Lepchenko V.
210

Shuai Zhang defeated Varvara Lepchenko 6-2 6-1 in the Merida round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Shuai Zhang came in ranked #54, leading the head-to-head 4–2. Shuai Zhang extended the head-to-head to 5–2.

Key context

Head to head

42
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-05-31Roland GarrosR128clayVarvara Lepchenko6-3 6-3
2019-05-27Roland GarrosR128clayShuai Zhang6-1 6-1
2017-06-26EastbourneR64grassShuai Zhang6-2 6-1
2016-09-12Japan Open TokyoQFhardShuai Zhang6-7(4) 6-1 6-3
2016-01-18Australian OpenR32hardShuai Zhang6-1 6-3
2014-06-16EastbourneR32grassVarvara Lepchenko5-7 6-4 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Zhang S.serving68% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Lepchenko V.

Lepchenko V.serving70% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Zhang S.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Zhang S.Lepchenko V.
17
Serve
58
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
43%
Service points won·Even
56%
55%
Return points won·Even
42%
44%
Break points saved·Even
57%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.5
3.6
Double faults / match·Even
2.9
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
62
47
Break points saved·Slight edge
55
64
Break points won·Clear edge
83
65
Deciding sets·Slight edge
78
72
Tiebreaks·Dominant
82
39

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.6+136 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.4Hard Elo 1559
6.5Overall Elo 1718
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1578
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.1
Surface form
4.8
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
99
44

Zhang S.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Lepchenko V.: 1 day rest · 6 matches, 149 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
23°CMainly clear
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 49%