Frances Tiafoe vs Aleksandar KovacevicAcapulco Round of 16

Acapulco · ATP · Round of 16
#19ATP
1918ELO
1861Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 23 February 2026
hard
#70ATP
1636ELO
1611Hard ELO
$627kYTD
$2.9MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLLWW
Tiafoe F.
6-4 3-6 7-6
Kovacevic A.
Tiafoe F.
63792
Kovacevic A.
46671

Frances Tiafoe defeated Aleksandar Kovacevic 6-4 3-6 7-6 in the Acapulco round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Frances Tiafoe came in ranked #19, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's round of 16. Frances Tiafoe extended the head-to-head to 4–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Frances Tiafoe closed it out in three sets, 6–4 3–6 7–6.

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-21WashingtonR32hardFrances Tiafoe7-5 3-6 6-3
2024-08-26US OpenR128hardFrances Tiafoe6-4 6-3 4-6 7-5
2024-07-29WashingtonR16hardFrances Tiafoe7-6(3) 4-6 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Tiafoe F.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Kovacevic A.

Kovacevic A.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Tiafoe F.Kovacevic A.
38
Serve
52
37
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Even
66%
68%
Return points won·Even
36%
32%
Break points saved·Even
65%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.5
10.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.4
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
83
53
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Dominant
57
4
Deciding sets·Slight edge
92
81
Tiebreaks·Dominant
98
61

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.0+250 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.0Hard Elo 1611
8.4Overall Elo 1918
ELO gap
1.6Overall Elo 1636
10.0
H2H
0.0
5.9
Surface form
4.2
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.7
Minutes 14d
7.6
0.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
76
96

Tiafoe F.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Kovacevic A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 47%