Karen Khachanov vs Alexander ShevchenkoDubai Round of 32

Dubai · ATP · Round of 32
#22ATP
1828ELO
1783Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 23 February 2026
hard
1669ELO
1642Hard ELO
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWWLLW
Khachanov K.
6-7 6-2 6-3
Shevchenko A.
Khachanov K.
65662
Shevchenko A.
77231

Karen Khachanov defeated Alexander Shevchenko 6-7 6-2 6-3 in the Dubai round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Karen Khachanov came in leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's round of 16. Karen Khachanov extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-08Rome MastersR64clayKaren Khachanov6-4 6-4
2024-05-06Rome MastersR64clayKaren Khachanov6-4 6-4
2023-11-06MetzQFhardAlexander Shevchenko6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Khachanov K.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Shevchenko A.

Shevchenko A.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Khachanov K.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Khachanov K.Shevchenko A.
61
Serve
27
39
Return
11

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
62%
Return points won·Even
33%
36%
Break points saved·Even
67%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.8
6.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.8
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
86
77
Break points saved·Slight edge
99
92
Break points won·Clear edge
81
60
Deciding sets·Even
83
87
Tiebreaks·Even
92
88

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.7+141 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Hard Elo 1642
6.8Overall Elo 1828
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1669
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.0
Surface form
5.5
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3.0
Minutes 14d
6.2
0.0
3-set count
0.0
7.0
Prev. match
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
77
97

Khachanov K.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 48 games (7d) · Shevchenko A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 53%